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the model, over 250% of the measured discharge or under 40% of the measured discharge may <br />not give an accurate estimate of the necessary instream flow required. <br />Table 1: Data <br />Party <br />Date <br />Q <br />250 % 40% <br />Summer 3/3 <br />Winter 2/3 <br />BLM <br />06/04/2007 <br />0.49 <br />0.2 -1.2 <br />Out of range <br />0.74 <br />BLM <br />06/04/2007 <br />0.26 <br />0.1 -0.7 <br />Out of range <br />0.47 <br />BLM <br />06/04/2007 <br />0.38 <br />0.2 -0.9 <br />Out of range <br />0.33 <br />BLM <br />06/04/2008 <br />5.09 <br />2.0 -12.7 <br />2.34 <br />Out of range <br />The summer flow recommendation, which met 3 of 3 criteria and is within the accuracy range of <br />the R2CROSS model is 2.3 cfs. The winter flow amount, which meets 2 of 3 criteria, is 0.5 cfs. <br />The winter flow recommendation was derived by averaging the results of the data sets. <br />Hydrologic Data and Analysis <br />After receiving the cooperating agency's biologic recommendation, the CWCB staff conducted <br />an evaluation of the stream hydrology to determine if water was physically available for an <br />instream flow appropriation. This evaluation was done through a computation that is, in essence, <br />a "water balance ". In concept a "water balance" computation can be viewed as an accounting <br />exercise. When done in its most rigorous form, the water balance parses precipitation into all the <br />avenues water pursues after it is deposited as rain, snow, or ice. In other words, given a specified <br />amount of water deposition (input), the balance tries to account for all water depletions (losses) <br />until a selected end point is reached. Water losses include depletions due to evaporation and <br />transpiration, deliveries into ground water storage, temporary surface storage, incorporations into <br />plant and animal tissue and so forth. These losses are individually or collectively subtracted <br />from the input to reveal the net amount of stream runoff as represented by the discharge <br />measured by stream gages. Of course, the measured stream flow need not be the end point of <br />interest; indeed, when looking at issues of water use to extinction stream flow measurements <br />may only describe intermediate steps in the complex accounting process that is a water balance <br />carried out to a net value of zero. <br />In its analysis, CWCB staff has attempted to use this idea of balancing inputs and losses to <br />determine if water is available for the recommended Instream Flow Appropriation. Of course, <br />this analysis must be a practical exercise rather than a lengthy, and costly, scientific <br />investigation. As a result, staff has simplified the process by lumping together some variables <br />and employing certain rational and scientifically supportable assumptions. The process may be <br />described through the following description of the steps used to complete the evaluation for this <br />particular stream. <br />The first step required in determining water availability is a determination of the hydrologic <br />regime at the Lower Terminus (LT) of the recommended ISF reach. In the best case this means <br />looking at the data from a gage at the LT. Further, this data, in the best case, has been collected <br />for a long period of time (the longer the better) including wet and dry periods. In the case of <br />Willow Creek no such gage is available at the LT. In fact, there is no gage on Willow Creek. It <br />is thus necessary to describe the normal flow regime at Willow Creek above the LT through a <br />-4- <br />