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Section 4: The Economic Modeling Framework <br />A. Overview <br />Two types of economic effects are of interest when considering the economic impacts of <br />critical habitat designations: regional economic impacts and national economic efficiency <br />impacts. Regional economic impacts refer to the impact of the critical habitat designations <br />on specific geographic regions, such as States or other sub - regions of the country. <br />Frequently, regional economic impacts effect a transfer of resources from one region to <br />another. For example, if one State in the Basin increases its consumptive use of Colorado <br />River water, another State may have to forego some of its use of Colorado River water. <br />Thus, a positive regional impact to one State can be a negative impact to another, and vice <br />versa. <br />Regional economic impacts in this study were analyzed using input- output models which <br />organize the basic accounting relationships that describe the production sector of the <br />economy. The input- output method starts with the assumption that all sectors of the <br />economy are tied together by virtue of economic relations called linkages, and the production <br />of a good or service can be described by a recipe whose ingredients are the outputs of the <br />other sectors of the economy. The primary inputs are labor, capital, and other raw <br />resources. Through its multiplier analysis, the input- output model is capable of generating <br />estimates of the changes in output for sectors, changes in employment, and changes in <br />income due to species listing and critical habitat designation. The models report the total <br />impacts that result from the interactions among the sectors of the economy. <br />The computable general equilibrium model analyzes resource reallocations (e.g. changes in <br />river flows as represented by increased or decreased hydroelectric generation) in a manner <br />such that the net effects, not just the total effects, are calculated. Given this capability, the <br />CGE is able to estimate net national efficiency impacts at the national level. <br />I -16 <br />