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Researchers could also develop more <br />quantitative output such as incremental curves, <br />even if they are based on reasoned judgments <br />alone. <br />Advantages and Disadvantages <br />These are potentially quick and easy <br />methods because they typically involve few staff <br />and limited on -site work (reconnaissance <br />conducted with this method would not include <br />large scale or systematic data collection). They <br />are also relatively defensible in legal <br />environments where the testimony of experts is <br />highly regarded (although readers should note <br />that the testimony of one expert is often easily <br />countered by the testimony of another). <br />Ultimately, however, these methods also have <br />limitations because several critical issues are <br />addressed by educated guesswork rather than <br />hard data. <br />Professional judgments involve subjectivity, <br />and they rely on the ability of researchers to <br />make judgments about users' preferences or the <br />impacts of different flows on various conditions. <br />If those judgments turn out to be wrong, <br />subsequent flow recommendations will be poor. <br />Keys to Success <br />The success of studies using professional <br />judgment methods depends on at least three <br />factors. First, the professionals making the <br />judgments need to be of the highest quality. In <br />addition to experience and skill with the issues <br />at hand, high quality researchers are those who <br />study, but studies based on judgments alone have <br />significant limitations. <br />35 <br />invest themselves in the resource they are <br />studying to become familiar with the needs of <br />the river and its recreation users. Professional <br />judgment methods, more than any other, rely on <br />the intelligence, integrity, and attention of the <br />researchers. <br />Second, the thinking that goes into making <br />judgments needs to be as explicit as possible. <br />Judgments will have a higher degree of <br />replication and defensibility if researchers are <br />clear about the principles and assumptions upon <br />which their judgments are based. Some degree <br />of subjectivity and intuition will always play a <br />part in the process; however, the goal is to make <br />these elements explicit. The formation of <br />interdisciplinary teams and frequent <br />conferencing is one technique that can help in <br />this regard (see sidebar on page 36), forcing <br />researchers to explain their thinking to other <br />thoughtful people who may see things from <br />a different perspective. Employing a process as <br />described in this handbook is another useful <br />technique, helping provide a structure for <br />tracking assumptions, observations, and <br />judgments. <br />Third, because on -site observations are at <br />the heart of many professional judgments, the <br />timing of resource reconnaissance is critical. <br />Fieldwork should ideally occur at a variety of <br />flows (and in the best situations flows will <br />actually be manipulated for the purposes of the <br />study). When it is not possible to see a full <br />range of flows, researchers should plan field <br />work when flows will be near - marginal (when <br />small changes in flows are having relatively <br />large impacts on the resources in question). In <br />either case, observations at the river need to be <br />efficiently conducted and well documented. The <br />sidebar on fieldwork (page 39) examines some <br />simple ideas that can improve those aspects of a <br />study. <br />Summary <br />Some form of professional judgment is a <br />part of any study (and a major component of <br />others), but as a stand -alone approach this <br />method is most appropriate for the indirect <br />impact issues associated with geomorphic and <br />riparian changes. This method is also useful for <br />direct impact issues when there is a limited time <br />schedule or limited budget to conduct the study, <br />