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<br />YOUNG COLORADO PIKEMINNOW RECRUITMENT <br /> <br />minnow food abundance. Growth reductions may have <br />extended the time that Colorado pikeminnow were <br />susceptible to predators and that flow-predation <br />interaction may be a cause for low recruitment of fish <br />hatched during that period. <br />Physical factors such as river flow are suspected of <br />having a strong influence on the recruitment patterns of <br />fishes in other systems as well (Crecco and Savoy <br />1985; Tyus and Haines 1991; Mion et al. 1998). For <br />example, poor recruitment of American shad produced <br />early in the year in the Connecticut and Hudson rivers <br />was associated with high discharge, cold water <br />temperature, and slow growth of larvae (Crecco and <br />Savoy 1985; Limburg 1996), whereas higher survival <br />of later hatched cohorts was correlated with lower <br />flows, warmer water, and higher food abundance. <br />Similarly, river-spawning walleyes Sander vitreus also <br />showed high intra-anmual recruitment variation driven <br />mainly by negative effects of higher discharge and <br />water turbidity (Mion et al. 1998). Very high and <br />extended summer flows also negatively affected <br />abundance of age-O Colorado pikeminnow in backwa- <br />ters of the Green River in 1983 and 1984 compared <br />with other years in the period 1979-1988 (Tyus and <br />Haines 1991). <br /> <br />Management Applications <br />Management strategies to reduce fish predator <br />abundance in. Green River backwaters may enhance <br />recruitment of early life stages of rare native fishes, <br />including Colorado pikeminnow and endangered <br />razorback suckers Xyrauchen texanus (Bestgen 1990; <br />Tyus and Saunders 2000). Bundy and Bestgen <br />(unpublished report) were able to temporarily reduce <br />abundance of nonnative cyprinids by 90% or more with <br />depletion sampling in backwaters of the Colorado <br />River. Based on results presented here, similar <br />reductions of red shiner and other potential predator <br />fishes should have a positive recruitment effect on <br />native fishes such as Colorado pikeminnow, if <br />removals are timed with endangered fish reproduction. <br />This may have occurred in the lower Green River, <br />Utah, where intensive removal of abundant red shiners <br />and other nonnative cyprinids in a short river reach was <br />associated with persistence of relatively large early life <br />stages of razorback suckers (Trammell et al. 2004). <br />Less intensive removals over longer reaches in other <br />years did not produce similar results. Because high <br />discharge events also reduce abundance of nonnative <br />fishes in backwaters (Haines and Tyus 1990; Stanford <br />1994; Gido et al. 1997), further exploration of the link <br />between hydrology and nonnative fish abundance <br />dynamics is warranted. <br />Simulations portrayed the complexities of recruit- <br /> <br />1739 <br /> <br />ment dynamics of juvenile Colorado pikeminnow <br />observed in the field and could be used to generate <br />predictions of the relative effects of various manage- <br />ment schemes on the recruitment and growth of <br />Colorado pikeminnow. For example, Muth et al. <br />(2000) recently proposed more natural flow patterns <br />and water temperatures for Flaming Gorge Dam <br />releases; this may enhance survival and growth of <br />endangered fishes in the Green River system (Ward <br />and Stanford 1995; Poff et al. 1997). The mM offers <br />one means to evaluate the relative benefits of flow and <br />temperature modifications from Flanaing Gorge Dam <br />and effects of different anmual hydrologic and temper- <br />ature regimes on Colorado pikeminnow growth and <br />recruitment Establishing reliable links between sur- <br />vival and baseline growth rate of young Colorado <br />pikeminnow relative to base flow level or flow <br />fluctuations would make mM predictions particularly <br />useful. Effects of changes in temperature regimes could <br />be simulated directly and would be most important in <br />reaches close to the dana. Simulations could also <br />predict size-structure of autumn juveniles, if seasonal <br />production patterns of Colorado pikeminnow larvae <br />were available. Managers could then better understand <br />potential effects of late autumn and winter flow <br />regimes from Flanaing Gorge Dam that may influence <br />growth or overwinter survival of Colorado pike- <br />minnow, particularly if the autumn juveniles were <br />small (Thompson et al. 1991; Haines et al. 1998). This <br />may be particularly important in years when flows are <br />relatively high and cold because Colorado pikeminnow <br />reproduction is usually delayed under those circum- <br />stances (Nesler et al. 1988; Bestgen et al. 1998). <br />The abundance of juvenile Colorado pikeminnow <br />has declined in the Green River since the mid-1990s <br />(Muth et al. 2(00), and that decline has been implicated <br />as a main reason for the decline in abundance of adults <br />since 2000 (Bestgen et al. 2005). As a result, additional <br />research was initiated to understand factors associated <br />with the recent decline of early life stages of Colorado <br />pikeminnow, including the potential role of red shiners <br />and other predators in backwaters. Increased survival <br />of Colorado pikeminnow larvae, particularly those that <br />hatch early in the reproductive season and grow to a <br />relatively large size by autumn, should be investigated <br />because those are the ones most likely to overwinter <br />(Haines et al. 1998; Muth et al. 20(0). <br />Investigations should consider habitat availability <br />and quality, as well as the effects of nonnative fish <br />predators, to minimize the effects of interacting biotic <br />and abiotic factors that limit recruitment success of <br />early life stages of endangered Colorado pikeminnow <br />in the Green River Basin. <br />