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A main challenge of testing river restoration hypotheses is linking population <br />measurements such as fish abundance to a driving variable or set of variables with reasonable <br />certainty. For example, it is difficult to isolate effects of flow or temperature regimes when <br />distribution and abundance of invasive species are expanding, perhaps though interactions with <br />variable environmental conditions (Bestgen et al. In press). Because cause and effect <br />experiments are not possible in this setting, correlations and weight of evidence approaches are <br />the prevailing technique to accomplish this (Beyers 1998). Populations that are composed of <br />species whose biology is poorly understood and which are relatively long-lived make these <br />assessments more difficult, because responses to changes are slow and assignment of causative <br />factors is difficult. <br />The reach of the Green River, Utah and Colorado, downstream of Flaming Gorge Dam <br />offers an opportunity to evaluate effectiveness of actions to re-establish native fishes. This is an <br />ideal study area because more natural hydrologic and temperature regimes designed to benefit <br />native fishes have been implemented over a series of years. The Green River also has a source <br />pool of native fishes downstream, including the mostly unregulated and tributary Yampa River <br />and regulation-attenuated downstream reaches of the Green River, to re-colonize upstream <br />reaches. Furthermore, descriptions of the fish community are available from immediate pre-dam <br />(pre-1962) and post-dam (1964-1966) periods, as well as before and after installation of a <br />temperature control device (1978-1980). Additional sampling was conducted from 1994 to 1996 <br />that further evaluated changes in the fish community following implementation of flow <br />recommendations contained in the 1992 Biological Opinion on operation of Flaming Gorge Dam <br />(U. S. Fish and Wildlife Service 1992, Bestgen and Crist 2000). <br />Since 1996, a new set of flow and temperature recommendations for the Green River was <br />developed (Muth et al. 2000). Those recommendations will not be fully implemented until <br />Endangered Species Act and National Environmental Policy Act compliance activities are <br />complete, which is expected in 2006. Annual peak and base flow recommendations were <br />developed for each of five hydrologic conditions that ranged from dry to wet, based on <br />exceedance probabilities: dry (90 to 100% exceedance), moderately dry (70 to 90% exceedance), <br />2