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of the Act. Such consultations may identify reasonable and. prudent alternatives to destruction <br />or adverse modification of critical habitat that allow projects to proceed without significant <br />economic impacts. The Upper Basin and San Juan Recovery Implementation Programs <br />(RIPs) have allowed some water development in the Upper Basin to proceed concurrently <br />with efforts to recover endangered fishes. Participants in these programs intend for the RIPS <br />also to provide reasonable and prudent alternatives to the destruction or modification of <br />proposed critical habitat. <br />It is impossible, however, to predict the outcome of all future Section 7 Consultations <br />involving endangered fishes in the Colorado River Basin. If the Upper Basin and San Juan <br />RIPs do not show sufficient and timely progress in recovering endangered fishes, some <br />planned water developments may be modified, scaled back, or foregone. This assumption <br />provides an upper bound on the potential magnitude of economic effects associated with the <br />proposed critical habitat designations. If the RIPs are successful in achieving their objective, <br />many of the negative economic impacts described in this report can be avoided. <br />Utilizing projected economic growth data, economic activity levels were projected for the 20 <br />economic sectors. This assumed that no actions were taken to recover the endangered fishes <br />and formed the without fish scenario. Incorporating the changes in economic activity <br />necessary to recover the fishes led to a second set of economic projections - a with fish <br />scenario. The differences in the without fish and with fish formed the net economic impacts <br />of listing and proposed critical habitat designation. A methodology developed by the USFWS <br />for distinguishing between listing and critical habitat actions under the Act was applied to <br />determine the incremental impacts of the proposed critical habitat designation. <br />Regional Lnpacts <br />The incremental regional economic impacts of proposed critical habitat designations are <br />summarized, in part, in Table I-E-1. The data in this table illustrate the first basic conclusion <br />that can be drawn from the study. For the Colorado River Basin as a whole, regional <br />economic impacts are clearly positive. The stream of impacts over the study period <br />v , <br />