7997

• UCREFRP Catalog Number: 7997
• Author: Nash, L. L. and P. H. Gleick.
• Title: The Colorado River Basin and Climatic Change, The Sensitivity of Streamflow and Water Supply to Variations in Temperature and Precipitation.
• USFW Year: 1993.
• USFW - Doc Type: EPA 230-R-93-009,
• Copyright Material: NO

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Table 8: Annual flow (taf) of the Animas River for all scenarios.

Scenario

Mean [1]

so

cv

Minimum

Maximum

Base 550.6 192.5 0.35 240.4 941.7
T +20 P-20% 406.6 (-26.1%) 143.5 0.35 165.9 (-31.0oA!) 682.6 (-27.5%)
T+20 P-l0% 458.6 (-16.7%) 162.3 0.35 188.8 (-21.5%) 762.2 (-19.1%)
T +20 P+O 512.3 (-7.0%) 181.6 0.35 212.3 (-11.7%) 853.0 (-9.4%)
T+20 P+l0oA! 568.4 (3.2%) 200.8 0.35 238.0 (-1.0%) 947.8 (0.6%)
T+20 P+20% 628.2 (14.1%) 220.5 0.35 264.4 (1.0%) 1051.5 (11.7%)
T+40 P-20oA! 376.8 (-31.5%) 133.2 0.35 150.5 (-37.40A!) 640.1 (-32.0%)
T+40 P-l0oA! 424.3 (-22.9%) 150.8 0.36 170.6 (-29.0%) 715.8 (-24.0%)
T+40 P+O 473.3 (-14.1%) 168.8 0.36 191.5 (-20.3OA!) 791.8 (-15.9%)
T+40 P+l0% 525.0 (-4.7OA!) 187.1 0.36 214.6 (-10.7oA!) 874.2 (-7.2OA!)
T+40 P+20oA! 578.9 (5.1%) 205.5 0.35 240.2 (-O.loA!) 961.5 (2.0%)
GISS2 505.5 ( -8.4otil) 182.4 0.36 205.0 (-14.7otil) 847.2 (-10.0otil)
GFOl 459.3 (-16.7OA!) 165.7 0.36 184.8 (-23. 1 otil) 775.1 (-17.7%)
UKMO 2 465.3 (-15.7%) 169.2 0.36 182.1 (-24.2otil) 798.8 (-15.2%)
Note: (1) Numbers in parentheses represent percent change from the base case.

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