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<br />completed in March of 1991. The study will develop an interactive <br />computer model to be used by water managers and planners to forecast <br />changing municipal and industrial water demands, to evaluate water <br />conservation implementation strategies and to develop drought contin- <br />gency plans. The model wiIl be a critical element in developing long-term <br />forecasts and prioritizing future water resource strategies involving system <br />optimization and water conservation options and impacts. It wiIl also <br />assist in evaluating the short-term options necessary to better operate the <br />existing urban infrastructure. <br /> <br />H. RESERVOIR OPERATIONS <br /> <br />Water year 1991 marked the fifth consecutive year of below normal <br />flow in the Colorado River Basin. Although basin wide precipitation <br />during 1991 was over 95 percent of normal, runoff into Lake PoweIl was <br />only 60 percent of normal. This illustrates the effect that the previous <br />years ofIow precipitation have had on the basin. Even though inflow on <br />the Colorado River was below normal during water year 1991, there has <br />been an improvement in the condition of the basin above Lake PoweIl. <br />This is demonstrated by the fact that most of the reservoirs located <br />upstream from Lake PoweIl nearly fiIled during the year and the Palmer <br />drought index improved from a severe drought to a moderate drought. <br /> <br />During water year 1991, the drawdown of the eolorado River system <br />reservoirs that began in 1988 continued. An additional 1.7 miIIion acre- <br />feet was lost from storage in the entire eolorado River storage system <br />during 1991. The October 1, 1991 system vacant space was about 17.4. <br />This large vacant space is a result of the five lowest successive years of <br />inflow into Lake PoweIl on record (1987 through 1991). During this <br />drawdown period, objective deliveries of water have been maintained in <br />accordance with the "eriteria for Coordinated Long- Range Operation of <br />Colorado River Reservoirs" (Operating eriteria). <br /> <br />1. ANNUAL OPERATING PLAN DEVELOPMENT <br /> <br />On October 23, 1990, Secretary of the Interior Manuel Lujan, Jr. <br />transmitted letters approving an Annual Operating Plan for water year <br />1991. The Operating Plan was developed through the cooperation of <br />representatives of the seven Basin States, Reclamation, W AP A and other <br />agencies. <br /> <br />The Annual Operating Plan was developed with "appropriate consid- <br /> <br />56 <br />