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1 <br />Reservoir Operating Studies <br /> <br />1 <br /> <br />months. In the drier quartile of years (those having a 75 % flow exceedance probability), flows <br />in this reach drop to very low levels as the senior Maybell Canal diversion just upstream takes <br />nearly everything in the river. Comparison to Table 2-4 (the preliminary flow <br />recommendations at Maybell) shows that, under current conditions, the median flows satisfy <br />the flow recommendations in all months. More detailed results of this scenario can be found in <br />Appendix E. <br />Table 2-6 <br /> <br />1 <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />1 <br /> <br /> <br />u <br /> <br /> <br />Modeled Current Conditions Flows at Maybell (cfs) <br />1 25% exc. 50% exc. 75% exc. <br />October 317 234 162 <br />November 364 275 228 <br />December 338 247 198 <br />January 304 235 198 <br />February 352 277 255 <br />March 726 513 406 <br />April 3,136 2,102 1,396 <br />May 7,028 5,772 4,069 <br />June 6,385 5,176 3,657 <br />July 1,772 1,018 469 <br />August 387 237 107 <br />September 180 112 44 <br />2040 Demand Conditions without Elkhead Enlargement Project <br />Key Assumptions <br />The future "without project" conditions scenario was defined by the use of projected <br />demands representing year 2040 conditions. These projected demands result in additional <br />depletions, over the "current potential" demands represented in the scenario discussed above, <br />of approximately 38,000 af. This 38,000 of is assumed to reflect full utilization of currently <br />consulted depletions as well as future uses not anticipated in previous Section 7 consultations; <br />thus the 38,000 of includes the depletion effects considered in previous consultations. It is <br />important to note that "full utilization of currently consulted depletions" may imply some <br />reallocation of those consulted depletions among basin water users, since the consultations were <br />not specific about how those depletions would occur. <br />Included in the 38,000 of demand increment is approximately 14,000 of of additional <br />demand associated primarily with municipal use. The remaining 24,000 of of demand is <br />associated primarily with industrial uses such as the construction of additional thermal-electric <br />generation capacity at the Hayden and Craig stations, a new coal-gasification plant, new mining <br />facilities and minor increases in agricultural and snow-making water uses. In most instances, <br />these future depletions would be expected to occur using existing water diversion facilities and <br />water rights. Some modeled future depletions may involve federal actions (e.g., permitting) <br />that would require consultation under Section 7 of the Endangered Species Act. <br />2-15