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<br /> Reservoir Operating Studies <br />' <br /> Table 2-4 <br /> Preliminary* Flow Recommendations at Maybell <br />' Month Recommended Flow (cfs) <br /> October 204 (50% exc.) <br />' November 255 (50% exc.) <br /> December 228 (50% exc.) <br /> January 217 (50% exc.) <br /> February 256 (50% exc.) <br /> March 498 (50% exc.) <br /> April <br /> May <br /> June ** <br /> July 999 (50% exc.) <br /> August 220 (50% exc.) <br />' September 91 * * * (50% exc.) <br /> * Still under review by U. S. Fish and Wildlife Service <br /> * * Percentile which occurs naturally in any given year. <br /> * * * The 50% exceedance flow for September is 91 cfs based on water availability <br /> considerations associated with the assumptions in the Yampa River Basin Model. The <br /> Service recognizes that the conditions modeled are based on worst case assumptions <br /> and that flows are not likely to drop to this level in the near future. If this flow level <br /> were to regularly occur there may be a need to secure augmentation sources to <br />' maintain or enhance late summer flows. <br />' FINAL OPERATIONS STUDIES FOR THE ENLARGED ELKHEAD RESERVOIR <br /> The final reservoir operations studies made using the Yampa River basin model <br /> considered three basic scenarios: 1) current potential conditions, 2) year 2040 conditions <br /> without the reservoir enlargement, and 3) year 2040 conditions WitJ1 the reservoir enlargement. <br /> Several mainstem flow enhancement options were also examined under the latter scenario. <br />' <br /> These various scenarios were defined so as to characterize the full range of likely water <br /> management futures in the basin and to permit the with/without comparisons necessary for <br /> environmental and biological assessments of the enlargement project. The key assumptions and <br />' results of these groups of model scenarios are presented below. Detailed tables of scenario <br /> results can be found in Appendices E, F, and G. <br />' <br /> Current Potential Conditions Scenario <br />Assumptions <br />This scenario represents the hydrologic conditions that would ensue if current potential <br />demands were active over the entire 53-year study period and if existing reservoirs were <br />operated according to contracts and agreements presently in place. It is = a "no action" <br />scenario since water demands will change in the future even without development of additional <br />' water storage or other changes in basin water management. Rather, it represents a "baseline" <br />that facilitates the characterization of future hydrologic conditions as differences from actual <br />present conditions. In terms of water demands it reflects a smaller amount of depletion than <br />1 2-11