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1 <br />Reservoir Operating Studies <br />' As the currentstudy it <br />progressed, became apparent that there was a need to have the <br />flow recommendations defined at Maybell and it was decided that the Yampa River basin <br />' model could be used to help define preliminary flow recommendations Maybell. This was <br />accomplished by defining a model scenario that represented current potential demand <br />conditions plus additional depletions that had already undergone Section 7 consultation or <br />' which had otherwise been reflected in the HYDROSS Environmental Baseline. <br />The "current potential conditions with consulted depletions" model scenario was defined <br />to correspond as closely as possible with the previous modeling work done by the Service in <br />connection with the Stagecoach Reservoir Project (SRP) Section 7 consultation. In particular, <br />this scenario is meant to provide the "Environmental Baseline" required for conducting <br />preliminary Section 7 consultations for the proposed enlargement of Elkhead Reservoir. It was <br />necessary to "re-create" the Environmental Baseline using the Yampa River basin model since <br />the differences between the modeling approach used in the present study and the HYDROSS <br />approach used by the Service made direct comparisons of current model results to the original <br />HYDROSS-based Environmental Baseline difficult. <br />Table 2-3 presents a statistical summary of flow conditions at Maybell resulting from the <br />"current potential conditions plus consulted depletions" model scenario. Average monthly <br />flows are presented for three exceedance levels, the 25th percentile, the 50th percentile (or <br />median), and the 75th percentile. The 25th percentile flows are flows which are exceeded in <br />25 % of years, i.e., they correspond to wet year conditions; the 75th percentile flows are <br />exceeded in 75 % of years and correspond to dry year conditions. More detailed results of this <br />model scenario can be found in Appendix D. <br />' Table 2-3 <br /> Modeled Current Conditions with Consulted Depletions Flows at Maybell Ws) <br /> <br /> Month 25% exc. 50% exc. 75% exc. <br />' October 291 204 <br />November 344 255 129 <br />209 <br /> December 322 228 179 <br /> January 284 217 179 <br />' February 336 256 238 <br /> March 717 498 395 <br /> April 3,117 2,086 1,381 <br /> May 7,016 5,754 4,039 <br />' June 6,363 5,147 3,644 <br /> July 1,753 999 444 <br /> August 368 220 91 <br />' September 163 91 31 <br /> Preliminary Flow Recommendations at Maybell <br /> The preliminary flow recommendations at Maybell are basi cally the median flows which <br />' result from this "current potential conditions with consulted deple tions" model run. The <br /> preliminary flow recommendations are presented in Table 2-4. <br />n <br />2-10