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Reservoir Operating Studies <br />Studies to Define an Environmental Baseline at Maybell <br />In 1986, the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service applied the HYDROSS modeling <br />methodology to the Yampa and Green River basins to assist in assessing the cumulative impacts <br />on streamflows of water developments for irrigation, power, municipal, and recreation. The <br />Service's HYDROSS application was aimed primarily at identifying the impacts associated with <br />the Stagecoach Reservoir Project near Steamboat Springs. From this modeling analysis, the <br />Service defined a "Section 7 Baseline" condition for the Stagecoach project and Interim Flow <br />Recommendations at Deerlodge Park. A detailed review of the HYDROSS application was <br />conducted as part of the Phase I Study. <br />As the current study progressed, it became apparent that there was a need to have the <br />flow recommendations defined at Maybell and it was decided that the Yampa River basin <br />model could be used to help define preliminary flow recommendations Maybell. This was <br />accomplished by defining a model scenario that represented current potential demand <br />conditions plus additional depletions that had already undergone Section 7 consultation or <br />which had otherwise been reflected in the HYDROSS Environmental Baseline. <br />The "current potential conditions with consulted depletions" model scenario was defined <br />to correspond as closely as possible with the previous modeling work done by the Service in <br />connection with the Stagecoach Reservoir Project (SRP) Section 7 consultation. In particular, <br />this scenario is meant to provide the "Environmental Baseline" required for conducting <br />preliminary Section 7 consultations for the proposed enlargement of Elkhead Reservoir. It was <br />necessary to "re-create" the Environmental Baseline using the Yampa River basin model since <br />the differences between the modeling approach used in the present study and the HYDROSS <br />approach used by the Service made direct comparisons of current model results to the original <br />HYDROSS-based Environmental Baseline difficult. <br />Table 2-3 presents a statistical summary of flow conditions at Maybell resulting from the <br />"current potential conditions plus consulted depletions" model scenario. Average monthly <br />flows are presented for three exceedance levels, the 25th percentile, the 50th percentile (or <br />median), and the 75th percentile. The 25th percentile flows are flows which are exceeded in <br />25 % of years, i.e., they correspond to wet year conditions; the 75th percentile flows are <br />exceeded in 75 % of years and correspond to dry year conditions. More detailed results of this <br />model scenario can be found in Appendix D. <br />Preliminary Flow Recommendations at Maybell <br />The preliminary flow recommendations at Maybell are basically the median flows which <br />result from this "current potential conditions with consulted depletions" model run. The <br />preliminary flow recommendations are presented in Table 2-4. <br />2-10