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Reservoir Operating Studies <br />It is anticipated that some drawdown restrictions might be placed on the enlarged <br />Elkhead Reservoir to maintain summer recreation potential. While the model incorporates <br />options to simulate such restrictions, none were imposed in the final operating studies of the <br />enlargement. A review of model results indicated that the recreational pool target levels were <br />met most of the time without imposition of these operational restrictions. <br />EARLY OPERATING STUDIES <br />Studies of the Juniper Contemplated Draft <br />The Contemplated Draft of the 1954 Juniper water rights was estimated by implementing <br />the water rights and operation of the original Juniper Project in the basin model. The water <br />rights represented included the Deadman Bench Canal direct flow right for 550 cfs, the <br />hydropower direct flow right of 1,000 cfs, and the storage right for 825,294 of (the original <br />storage decree. for 844,000 of was reduced by 18,706 of to reflect previous transfers). Juniper <br />Reservoir was modeled with a total capacity of 844,000 of including dead storage of 73,226 af. <br />Two scenarios were defined to obtain preliminary estimates of the Contemplated Draft. <br />In the first, the Juniper rights were operated in their correct priority position; in the second, the <br />Juniper rights were operated in a subordinated priority position, junior to all current demands. <br />' Common to both scenarios was the use of the "current potential" demand level. Based on the <br />first of these scenarios, if the original Juniper Project were in existence today and operated <br />using its 1954 water rights without regard to any specific or general subordination, the total <br />draft of the Juniper rights would average 863,524 of per year. On the average, about 96,000 of <br />of this draft is due to direct flow diversion through the Deadman Bench Canal and 339,910 of <br />from direct flow diversion for hydroelectric power generation; the remaining 427,538 of is <br />diverted to storage in Juniper Reservoir. The annual draft of the Juniper Project ranges from a <br />high of 1.23 million acre-feet (maf) in 1978 to a low of 0.34 maf in 1977. There are <br />substantial water shortages throughout the basin in this model scenario as the Juniper rights call <br />out many existing juniors, including the existing reservoirs. More detailed results of this model <br />scenario can be found in Appendix B. <br />In the second scenario, with the Juniper Project water rights subordinated to all other <br />demands in the basin, the total annual draft of the Juniper rights averages 856,529 of per year. <br />On the average, about 91,000 of of the draft is due to direct flow diversion by the Deadman <br />Bench Canal and 324,343 of from direct flow hydroelectric power generation; the remaining <br />441,255 of of the draft results from storage in Juniper Reservoir. The annual draft of the <br />subordinated Juniper Project ranges from a high of 1.29 maf in 1962 to a low of 0.32 maf in <br />1977. Shortages to basin demands are much lower in this scenario than with the Juniper <br />Project operated with an unubordinated 1954 priority and are not caused by a call of the <br />Juniper rights. This finding is consistent with Division 6 data indicating that current use by <br />water rights junior to the Juniper rights is substantially less than the 65,000 of allowed under <br />the general subordination. More detailed results of this model scenario can be found in <br />Appendix C. <br /> <br />1 2-9