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<br />In 1938, the riparian herbaceous type occupied <br />more than halt (52 percent) of the floodplain. It <br />was the dominant cover type. Agriculture, a devel- <br />opment type, occupied approximately a quarter (24 <br />percent) of the floodplain. It was the second- <br />most dominant cover type. The shrub-scrub type <br />occupied a larger percentage (14 percent) of the <br />floodplain than did woodlands (10 percent). <br />Urban/ranchyards and rights-of-way occupied the <br />smallest percentages of the floodplain (0,6 and <br />0.2 percent, respectively). <br />In 1982, agriculture occupied over half (52 <br />percent) of the floodplain. At this time, it was <br />the dominant cover-type. The herbaceous type <br />occupied approximately a quarter (26 percent) of <br />the floodplain. It was-the second-most dominant <br />type. The woodland type was the third most domi- <br />nant cover type, mile the shrub-scrub type was <br />the fourth. Woodlands occupied 13 percent of the <br />floodplain; the scrub-scrub type occupied only 5 <br />percent. Urban/ranchyards and rights-of-way <br />ioccupied samil percentages of the floodplain. <br />These wire 0.8 and 0.5 percent, respectively. <br />This order of cover dominance was set before 1956. <br />General Changes <br />Between 1938 and 1982, the total acreage of <br />riparian cover declined by 58,910 acres (from <br />140,215 to 81,305 acres), while developed cover <br />increased by 57,789 acres (from 45,199 to 102,988 <br />acres). However, most of the decline of riparian <br />cover occurred before 1956, by which time it had <br />been reduced by 47,164 acres (from 140,215 acres <br />to 93,051 acres). During this same time span, <br />(1938-1956) developed cover Increased by 41,884 <br />acres (tram 45,199 to 67,083 acres). The average <br />annual decline of riparian cover between 1938 and <br />1956, wsa estimated to have been 2482 acres per <br />year. The average annual increase of developed <br />land was estimated to have been 2204 acres per year <br />during the same period. The changes that occurred <br />between 1938 and 1966 were the largest of the study <br />period. <br />A list of cover types, ordered by percent of <br />net change in screage, would have agriculture in <br />the ,.number one position. Agriculture increased <br />130,percent over the entire study period; rights- <br />of-way increased 120 percent; urban/ranchyards <br />increased 33 percent; foreata increased 26 percent; <br />herbaceous cover decreased 60 percent; and the <br />shrub-scrub type decresaed 61 percent. <br />Of those cover types that increased, only <br />agriculture increased throughout the study period. <br />The maximum acreages for rights-of-way, <br />urban/ranchyards, and woodlands appear to have <br />occurred during the mid-1970'x; by 1982, acreages <br />for the letter two types were less than they had <br />been since 1938. The rights-ot-way category <br />changed little between 1974 end 1982. <br />Observed changes in areal extent were not <br />uniform for each type, nor were they similar bet- <br />ween types, but a pattern. was observed. Data <br />presented in Table 2 provides evidence that the <br />herbaceous type declined until 1974 and then in- <br />creased; shrub-scrub declined throughout the study <br />period; and lorests increased until 1974 and then <br />declined. The largest decrease of herbaceous acre- <br />age took place between 1938 and 1956, when a net loss <br />of 54 percent took place (52,203 acres; from 96,804 to <br />44,601 acres). The largest decline in the shrub-scrub <br />type occurred between 1956 and 1974, when a net loss <br />of 37 percent took place (7455 acres; Prom 20,003 <br />to 12,548 acres). Between 1974 and 1982, 37 percent <br />(13,893 acres; from 37,082 to 23,189 acres) of forests <br />were eliminated. Forest acreages declined more <br />than any other cover type between 1974 and 1982. <br />Also during this period, the herbaceous acreage <br />increased 9430 acres (from 38,849 to 48,279 acres). <br />These patterns of riparian decline appear to be <br />the result of the cumulative effects of several broad <br />categories aP change. The influence of each <br />category is not detectable from the data presented <br />in Table 2. Further analyses were necessary in <br />order to place in perspective the patterns and <br />causes of the riparian decline. <br />Causes of General Changes <br />The observed changes in the riparian Lypes <br />noted above resulted from three broad categories <br />of loss or gain. These categories of change were: <br />1) loss to development, 2) loss to the River, 3) <br />and loss (or gain) due to other causes. <br />An areal loss and a gain occurred whenever <br />the classification of a parcel changed from one <br />era to the next. For example, if woodland was <br />converted to cropland, a "loss" would have <br />occurred in the amount of woodland and a "gain" <br />would have occurred in the amount of cropland. <br />But, when a woodland was cleared to create new <br />pasture, a loss of woodland as well as a gain of <br />herbaceous area would have occurred, And, if a <br />stand of sappling cottonwoods had grown above the <br />height category for the shrub-scrub type, a loss <br />would have occurred for this type while a gain <br />would have occurred in the amount of woodlands. <br />Interactions such as these between cover types <br />were not investigated. But, evidence is provided <br />that adds another dimension to the broad patterns <br />of change described above. Specifically, data are <br />provided on the relative influence of each <br />category of change on each rfparian type. <br />` The artaunt of loss (or gain) attributable to <br />each category was measured for each riparian type <br />during each time period, these amounts were then <br />divided by the number of years in the period. <br />!Chronologically, these were 19, 18, and 8 years. <br />These rates are presented in Table 3 in terms of <br />acres per year. Estimating loss Land gain) as a <br />rate, rather than as the sum of change, facili- <br />tated comparisons of change between periods of <br />unequal length. <br />In order to simplify calculating the rates at <br />which individual rfparian types were lost, all <br />developed types were combined. Between 1938 and <br />1982, approximately 97.5 percent (85,894 acres) of <br />all riparian cover converted to a developed type <br />was converted to agriculture, 1.7 percent (1498 <br />acres} was converted to urban/ranchyards, and 0.8 <br />percent (698 acres) was converted to rights-of- <br />