<br />In 1938, the riparian herbaceous type occupied
<br />more than halt (52 percent) of the floodplain. It
<br />was the dominant cover type. Agriculture, a devel-
<br />opment type, occupied approximately a quarter (24
<br />percent) of the floodplain. It was the second-
<br />most dominant cover type. The shrub-scrub type
<br />occupied a larger percentage (14 percent) of the
<br />floodplain than did woodlands (10 percent).
<br />Urban/ranchyards and rights-of-way occupied the
<br />smallest percentages of the floodplain (0,6 and
<br />0.2 percent, respectively).
<br />In 1982, agriculture occupied over half (52
<br />percent) of the floodplain. At this time, it was
<br />the dominant cover-type. The herbaceous type
<br />occupied approximately a quarter (26 percent) of
<br />the floodplain. It was-the second-most dominant
<br />type. The woodland type was the third most domi-
<br />nant cover type, mile the shrub-scrub type was
<br />the fourth. Woodlands occupied 13 percent of the
<br />floodplain; the scrub-scrub type occupied only 5
<br />percent. Urban/ranchyards and rights-of-way
<br />ioccupied samil percentages of the floodplain.
<br />These wire 0.8 and 0.5 percent, respectively.
<br />This order of cover dominance was set before 1956.
<br />General Changes
<br />Between 1938 and 1982, the total acreage of
<br />riparian cover declined by 58,910 acres (from
<br />140,215 to 81,305 acres), while developed cover
<br />increased by 57,789 acres (from 45,199 to 102,988
<br />acres). However, most of the decline of riparian
<br />cover occurred before 1956, by which time it had
<br />been reduced by 47,164 acres (from 140,215 acres
<br />to 93,051 acres). During this same time span,
<br />(1938-1956) developed cover Increased by 41,884
<br />acres (tram 45,199 to 67,083 acres). The average
<br />annual decline of riparian cover between 1938 and
<br />1956, wsa estimated to have been 2482 acres per
<br />year. The average annual increase of developed
<br />land was estimated to have been 2204 acres per year
<br />during the same period. The changes that occurred
<br />between 1938 and 1966 were the largest of the study
<br />period.
<br />A list of cover types, ordered by percent of
<br />net change in screage, would have agriculture in
<br />the ,.number one position. Agriculture increased
<br />130,percent over the entire study period; rights-
<br />of-way increased 120 percent; urban/ranchyards
<br />increased 33 percent; foreata increased 26 percent;
<br />herbaceous cover decreased 60 percent; and the
<br />shrub-scrub type decresaed 61 percent.
<br />Of those cover types that increased, only
<br />agriculture increased throughout the study period.
<br />The maximum acreages for rights-of-way,
<br />urban/ranchyards, and woodlands appear to have
<br />occurred during the mid-1970'x; by 1982, acreages
<br />for the letter two types were less than they had
<br />been since 1938. The rights-ot-way category
<br />changed little between 1974 end 1982.
<br />Observed changes in areal extent were not
<br />uniform for each type, nor were they similar bet-
<br />ween types, but a pattern. was observed. Data
<br />presented in Table 2 provides evidence that the
<br />herbaceous type declined until 1974 and then in-
<br />creased; shrub-scrub declined throughout the study
<br />period; and lorests increased until 1974 and then
<br />declined. The largest decrease of herbaceous acre-
<br />age took place between 1938 and 1956, when a net loss
<br />of 54 percent took place (52,203 acres; from 96,804 to
<br />44,601 acres). The largest decline in the shrub-scrub
<br />type occurred between 1956 and 1974, when a net loss
<br />of 37 percent took place (7455 acres; Prom 20,003
<br />to 12,548 acres). Between 1974 and 1982, 37 percent
<br />(13,893 acres; from 37,082 to 23,189 acres) of forests
<br />were eliminated. Forest acreages declined more
<br />than any other cover type between 1974 and 1982.
<br />Also during this period, the herbaceous acreage
<br />increased 9430 acres (from 38,849 to 48,279 acres).
<br />These patterns of riparian decline appear to be
<br />the result of the cumulative effects of several broad
<br />categories aP change. The influence of each
<br />category is not detectable from the data presented
<br />in Table 2. Further analyses were necessary in
<br />order to place in perspective the patterns and
<br />causes of the riparian decline.
<br />Causes of General Changes
<br />The observed changes in the riparian Lypes
<br />noted above resulted from three broad categories
<br />of loss or gain. These categories of change were:
<br />1) loss to development, 2) loss to the River, 3)
<br />and loss (or gain) due to other causes.
<br />An areal loss and a gain occurred whenever
<br />the classification of a parcel changed from one
<br />era to the next. For example, if woodland was
<br />converted to cropland, a "loss" would have
<br />occurred in the amount of woodland and a "gain"
<br />would have occurred in the amount of cropland.
<br />But, when a woodland was cleared to create new
<br />pasture, a loss of woodland as well as a gain of
<br />herbaceous area would have occurred, And, if a
<br />stand of sappling cottonwoods had grown above the
<br />height category for the shrub-scrub type, a loss
<br />would have occurred for this type while a gain
<br />would have occurred in the amount of woodlands.
<br />Interactions such as these between cover types
<br />were not investigated. But, evidence is provided
<br />that adds another dimension to the broad patterns
<br />of change described above. Specifically, data are
<br />provided on the relative influence of each
<br />category of change on each rfparian type.
<br />` The artaunt of loss (or gain) attributable to
<br />each category was measured for each riparian type
<br />during each time period, these amounts were then
<br />divided by the number of years in the period.
<br />!Chronologically, these were 19, 18, and 8 years.
<br />These rates are presented in Table 3 in terms of
<br />acres per year. Estimating loss Land gain) as a
<br />rate, rather than as the sum of change, facili-
<br />tated comparisons of change between periods of
<br />unequal length.
<br />In order to simplify calculating the rates at
<br />which individual rfparian types were lost, all
<br />developed types were combined. Between 1938 and
<br />1982, approximately 97.5 percent (85,894 acres) of
<br />all riparian cover converted to a developed type
<br />was converted to agriculture, 1.7 percent (1498
<br />acres} was converted to urban/ranchyards, and 0.8
<br />percent (698 acres) was converted to rights-of-
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