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Temperatures below 4° C do not appear to be stressful for juvenile or <br />adult northern pike when cooling is gradual (Casselman 1978). In fact, male <br />northern pike in an Alberta lake achieved about 35% of their total annual <br />growth during the winter at temperatures near 1° C (Diana and MacKay 1979). <br />Sudden temperature drops can, however, be lethal. A sizeable northern pike <br />kill occurred when water temperatures in an Alberta lake receiving heated <br />effluent dropped from 21.8° C to 4.9° C within 30 minutes after a power plant <br />shutdown (Ash et al. 1974). <br />HABITAT SUITABILITY INDEX (HSI} MODELS <br />Model Description - Lacustrine and Riverine <br />The Habitat Suitability Index (HSI) models which follow are attempts to <br />condense the preceding observations into a manageable set of habitat evalua- <br />tion criteria, structured so as to produce an index between 0.0 and 1.0 of <br />overall habitat quality for northern pike. A positive relationship between <br />HSI and carrying capacity of the habitat is assumed (U.S. Fish- and Wildlife <br />Service 1981). <br />Separate HSI models are presented for lacustrine (Fig. 1) and riverine <br />(Fig. 2} habitats, but the two are very similar and are more appropriately <br />described as variations of a single general model. The only differences are <br />that the riverine model contains two additional variables (V8 and V9) to <br />account for the availability and accessibility of low velocity habitat, and <br />TDS (V4) can sometimes be excluded from the riverine model. It is implicit <br />that V8 and V9 are not limiting in lentic environments; that is, both would <br />have suitability indices equal to 1.0. <br />The model includes habitat variables believed to be of general importance <br />in limiting the occurrence of northern pike. The assumed functional relation- <br />ship between each habitat variable and habitat suitability for northern pike <br />is represented in a suitability index (SI) graph. An SI graph associates SI <br />ratings (on a 0.0 to 1.0 scale) with different levels of an environmental <br />variable. It is assumed that SI ratings for different habitat variables can <br />be compared. Overall habitat suitability is assumed to be determined by the <br />variable with the lowest suitability index; that is: <br />HSI (lacustrine) = minimum value for suitability indices V, to V, <br />HSI (riverine) = minimum value for suitability indices U1 to V9 <br /> <br />12 <br />