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<br />- <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br /> <br />FIGURE 2 Trace 54 Elevation Com arison <br /> <br />9 <br /> <br /> 6040 <br />c:: <br />0 <br />; 6030 <br />lI:l <br />> <br />C1l <br />iii <br />C1l <br />(J 6020 <br />~ <br />:::l <br />tn <br />l- <br />C1l 6010 <br />-; <br />~ <br /> 6000 <br /> <br />6050 <br /> <br />Trace Comparison <br />Action(ALL)/Action(ALL-1 )/NoAction Trace 54 <br /> <br /> <br />- Action(ALL) <br />-Action(ALL-1) <br />- NoAction <br /> <br /> <br />5990 <br />Jan-02 Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 <br /> <br />Date <br /> <br />The 50th percentile ("most probable") elevations over the first 10 years of the model runs <br />are shown in Figure 3. As compared to the two Action Alternatives, the No Action Alternative <br />provided significantly higher reservoir elevations in the summer months. The Action (ALL) <br />results indicated lower elevations than the Action (ALL-I) results. During the winter, elevations <br />were very similar for all three model runs since the draw down target is the same in all three <br />rulesets. As in Figure 1, a single trace has been included in Figure 3. This trace (trace 16) <br />achieved the 50% exceedance level for the Action(ALL) results in July, 10 years into the trace. <br />