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differences in crew experience or effort, effects of such on abundance estimates should be <br />minimized because capture probabilities were estimated for all sampling occasions, reaches, and <br />years. <br />Abundance estimates.--Consistent declines in abundance estimates over time and in every <br />major river reach suggested a river-wide reduction in abundance of Colorado pikeminnow in the <br />Green River Basin from 2000 to 2003. Given the absence of obvious violations of assumptions <br />for abundance estimation models, and that river-wide estimates were relatively precise, <br />abundance estimates presented here are considered reliable. Abundance of Colorado <br />pikeminnow recruits was much lower than for adults and suggested that recruit abundance was <br />not sufficient to maintain adult abundance at a stable level over the period of study. This is true <br />because the proportion of recruits to adults in the population was much less than the proportion <br />of adults that apparently died each year. The I analysis also supported the hypothesis that <br />reduced recruitment was a main reason for the apparent decline of adult Colorado pikeminnow in <br />the Green River Basin. Recruitment dynamics for Colorado pikeminnow are episodic, occurring <br />at intervals of several years in the Colorado River (Osmundson and Burnham 1998), and such <br />may also be the case in the Green River. <br />Estimates for the Yampa River suggested a stable number of adult Colorado pikeminnow <br />in 2000 and 2001 but abundance declined slightly in 2002 and more in 2003. Based on declines <br />in capture rate from 2000 and 2001 (82 and 120 individuals captured, respectively, see also Fig. <br />13) to 33 and 31 in each of 2002 and 2003, respectively, and the presence of large, predaceous <br />northern pike in the Yampa River, expectations may have been for lower abundance estimates. <br />However, in each of those latter two years, not a single fish was recaptured from samples taken <br />that year (no within year recaptures). The low probabilities of capture resulted in abundance <br />43