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TABLE OF CONTENTS <br />EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ..........................................................3 <br />LIST OF TABLES ...............................................................6 <br />LIST OF FIGURES ...............................................................7 <br />INTRODUCTION ................................................................9 <br />Status and natural history of Colorado pikeminnow ............................ 12 <br />STUDY AREA ................................................................14 <br />METHODS ...................................................................17 <br />Sampling and fish handling ............................................... 17 <br />Robust design for capture-recapture studies . ................................. 20 <br />Statistical modeling ...................................................... 20 <br />Survival and finite population rate of change models ........................... 23 <br />RESULTS ....................................................................25 <br />River reach abundance estimates ........................................... 25 <br />Basin-wide abundance estimates . .......................................... 30 <br />Survival estimates ....................................................... 31 <br />Probabilities of capture . ................................................. 32 <br />Probabilities of transition ................................................. 34 <br />Finite population rates of change .......................................... 35 <br />ISMP catch/effort trends, 1991 to 2003 ...................................... 36 <br />DISCUSSION .................................................................38 <br />Model selection and assumptions ........................................... 39 <br />Abundance estimates ....................................................43 <br />Survival rates . .........................................................46 <br />Recruitment rates . ......................................................52 <br />Probabilities of capture . ................................................. 56 <br />Transition rates ......................................................... 57 <br />CONCLUSIONS ................................................................58 <br />RECOMMENDATIONS ..........................................................60 <br />ACKNOWLEDGMENTS ..........................................................61 <br />LITERATURE CITED ............................................................63 <br />APPENDICES ................................................................105 <br />2