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probabilities of capture tended to remain the same or increase from passes one to three in some <br />reaches, even when fourth pass data were not combined with third pass data. <br />Probabilities of transition.--Transition probabilities (Orij) characterized the annual <br />likelihood that tagged fish would move between the five different Green River Basin river <br />reaches. Estimates of transition probabilities adjusted probabilities of capture because the <br />likelihood of a fish being captured in a given reach was partially a function of its continued <br />presence there (1 - r#,j). Estimates of reach transition probabilities also gave insights into rates <br />and direction of movement of Colorado pikeminnow to and from various reaches, and how those <br />varied with fish TL. <br />In general, §V s for Colorado pikeminnow were low, especially those for non-adjacent <br />reaches (e.g., lower Green River to the White or Yampa River, Table 11). Reaches in the middle <br />of the study area had the most fish moving in. For example, the Desolation-Gray Canyon reach <br />of the Green River was the only reach to have fish moving there from every other reach. The <br />negative slope for 0 covariate TL reflected that transition probabilities among reaches were <br />higher for smaller than larger fish (Fig. 11). Recall that transitions may reflect relatively short- <br />distance movements just across the boundary of one reach to another (e.g., White River mouth to <br />the middle Green River), and thus, may not necessarily reflect a large total distance moved. <br />Average transition probabilities (only non-zero values used) for a fish of average TL moving <br />from the Yampa River (0.027) and the middle Green River reach (0.021) were low, reflecting a <br />relatively high propensity of fish to remain in those reaches (Table 12). The Or from the White <br />River (0.035), the Desolation-Gray Canyon reach (0.050), and the lower Green River reach <br />(0.121) were higher. Mean Otto a particular reach from all other reaches were lower for <br />tributaries at the extremities of the Green River Basin (Yampa River = 0.012, White River = <br />34