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NONNATIVE FISH PREDATION THREAT <br />were converted to wet mass using family- or order- <br />specific functions .derived from the literature (Smock <br />1980; Burgherr and Meyer 1997; Benke et aI. 1999). <br />Crayfish cazapace lengths were also converted to wet <br />mass (Roell and Orth 1992). Species-specific functions <br />were used to convert fish vertebral column length to <br />wet mass (B.M.J., unpublished data), which allowed us <br />to compute diet composition on a wet-mass basis. <br />We estimated predator consumptive demand by <br />performing simulations with Fish Bioenergetics soft- <br />ware (Hanson et al. 1997). A revised parameter set for <br />smallmouth bass was derived from Whitledge et al. <br />(2003). Parameters for channel catfish simulations were <br />obtained by adjusting temperature-dependent physio- <br />logical inputs reported for flathead catfish Pylodictus <br />olivaris (Roell and Orth 1993) to approximate the <br />thermal preferences of channel catfish (Becker 1983), <br />as described by Hanson et al. (1997). Northern pike <br />parameters were not changed from Fish Bioenergetics <br />defaults. Per-capita consumption was simulated for the <br />average adult of each population and was computed <br />from the annual growth increment, predator diet, river <br />temperature, predator energy density, and prey energy <br />density. Growth increment used in simulations was <br />calculated from the geometric mean weight of the fish <br />collected in the mark-recapture samples and the von <br />Bertalanffy growth function fitted to weight at age. <br />Each simulation encompassed 1 year. The thermal <br />experience of each species was estimated from mean <br />temperatures of the Yampa River recorded at the <br />Maybell gauge station (U.S. Geological Survey, <br />Station 09251000; RKM 126) during 1996-2002. <br />Energy density was set at 3.6 kJ/g of wet weight for <br />northem pike and at 4.2 kJ/g for smallmouth bass and <br />channel catfish (Hanson et al. 1997). Energy lost to <br />spawning (smallmouth bass: 7% loss on 20 May; <br />northem pike: 10% on 15 March; channel catfish: 7% <br />on 1 July) was incorporated into the simulations. <br />Literature-based estimates of energy density (wet-mass <br />basis) were obtained for aquatic insects (4.3 kJ/g: <br />Cummins and Wuycheck 1971), fish prey (4.2 kJ/g: <br />Hanson et al. 1997), and crayfish (3.8 kJ/g: Roell and <br />Orth 1993). <br />We performed simulations using two diet scenarios. <br />The nominal run (realized piscivory) used the diet <br />information we collected from smallmouth bass, <br />northern pike, and channel catfish in the Yampa River <br />during 2003-2005, when the availability of small- <br />bodied fish prey was low. The second set of <br />simulations represented potential consumptive demand <br />before the observed decline of small-bodied fishes <br />(potential piscivory scenario). For these simulations, <br />we used northem pike diet information (90% fish, 10% <br />invertebrates) reported by Nesler (1995). Diet infor- <br />1945 <br />mation was not available for smallmouth bass before <br />2003; diet composition for smallmouth bass collected <br />from GVR was used to represent the Yampa River diet <br />as if small-bodied fishes had not already been depleted. <br />We assumed that this set of simulations represented the <br />latent piscivory within the piscivore populations and <br />was an indicator of their potential to prevent the <br />recovery of small-bodied fishes via predation. Potential <br />consumption by channel catfish was not computed, <br />because the incidence of fish in the diet was low during <br />the late 1980s (Tyus and Nikirk 1990). <br />Annual per-capita consumption (c) by each predator <br />species (a) was scaled up to consumption by the entire <br />population (B) based on the mark-recapture abundance <br />estimate (1V~) and its confidence limits: <br />B; _ (c; X 1V,)±(to.os X c; x SEN,). <br />We apportioned the estimated biomass of fish <br />consumed by smallmouth bass and northem pike into <br />small-bodied fish equivalents (SBFs) to evaluate the <br />intensity of predation on native fish populations on a <br />numerical basis. The SBFs were computed for eight <br />native prey fishes: the bluehead sucker, flannelmouth <br />sucker, razorback sucker, humpback chub, Colorado <br />pikeminnow, roundtail chub, mottled sculpin, and <br />speckled dace. The number of prey of each species <br />consumed was computed from prey mean weight at a <br />specified size and the total biomass consumed per <br />predator population: <br />SBFrj = Bi ~ ~~7 X (Pi X pa )~' ~ e <br />where i is the predator species, j is the prey species, B <br />is fish biomass consumed per year, P is predator size <br />(mean TL, mm), p is the median prey :predator size <br />ratio observed in predator guts, and a and b are <br />coefficients of prey length-weight regressions (Caz- <br />lander 1969; Didenko and Bonaz 2004). The 5th and <br />95th percentiles of the prey :predator size ratio (p5 and <br />p9s) were used to compute a range of small-bodied fish <br />that could reasonably occur with changes in the size <br />structure of the extant prey assemblage. The number of <br />age-1 fish consumed was computed by dividing <br />consumption by prey weight at age (Bailey 1952; <br />Vanicek and Kramer 1969; Minckley 1983; McAda <br />and Wydoski 1985; Osmundson et al. 1997; Robinson <br />and Childs 2001;). The maximum age of each prey <br />species that was vulnerable to the smallmouth bass and <br />northern pike populations was computed from prey <br />length at age and predator gape limits (60% of predator <br />length for smallmouth bass: Katano and Aonuma <br />2001; 50% for northern pike: Mittelbach and Person <br />1998). <br />