Laserfiche WebLink
290 <br />ferent modifications of the curve, each made to <br />appear more typical. Results showed that these <br />modifications had no important effect on the out- <br />come ofthe analyses nor on our subsequent conclu- <br />sions. <br />U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) annual reports <br />were the source of temperature data for two upper- <br />basin river reaches presently inhabited by Colora- <br />do squawfish (Fig. 1): the Green River near Green <br />River, Utah (data for the years 1975-1983, 1985), <br />and the upper Colorado River near the Colorado- <br />Utah border (1979-1986). Temperatures at the <br />Green River and upper-Colorado locations have <br />not been affected by upstream water-development <br />projects (Robert Green, Regional Hydrologist, <br />U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Denver, Colorado, <br />unpublished data}. For the former range of Col- <br />orado squawfish, the few temperature data rec- <br />orded before modification of temperature regimes <br />by upstream dams are from the lower Colorado <br />River near Yuma, Arizona, for the years 1917-1924 <br />(Dil] 1944), and from the middle Colorado River <br />near Grand Canyon, Arizona (USGS annual re- <br />ports for 1943-1947, 1957). <br />Because the temperature data from the lower, <br />middle and upper-river reaches were not concur- <br />rent, we were concerned that possible long-term <br />climatic changes might affect comparisons among <br />these locations. We therefore analyzed climate da- <br />ta provided by the U.S. National Oceanic and At- <br />mospheric Administration for 1901-1986 for Yuma <br />and Flagstaff, Arizona, and Grand Junction, Col- <br />orado, monitoring stations near the sites of lower, <br />middle and upper Colorado River data collection, <br />respectively. Results showed that mean-annual air <br />temperatures for the eight years for which historic <br />lower-river temperature data were available were <br />all cooler than the 86-yr mean for Yuma, and aver- <br />aged 0.8° C less, whereas the six years during which <br />the historic middle-river temperature data were <br />collected were all warmer than the 86-yr average <br />for Flagstaff, and averaged 0.8° C warmer. Of the <br />ten years during which the Green River data were <br />collected, four were cooler and six warmer than the <br />86-yr average for Grand Junction, and averaged <br />0.2° C warmer, whereas these respective data for <br />the upper Colorado River location were two cool- <br />er, six warmer, and averaged 0.5° C warmer. Al- <br />though we have no means of standardizing our <br />river-temperature data to account for the effect of <br />these climatic differences, such adjustment would <br />increase the average temperatures that we report <br />for the historic lower river and reduce them for the <br />other locations. <br />River-temperature data were reduced to mean- <br />monthly temperatures for each year of record and <br />means were averaged within months to produce an <br />average-annual temperature regime (the type of <br />data provided by Dill [1944]) for each location. <br />Because they consisted of once-daily measure- <br />ments collected over a wide range of daylight <br />hours, the Green River data had an uncorrectable <br />bias toward the warmer temperatures that occur <br />during daylight. However, our analyses of the con- <br />tinuously recorded data collected at the nearby <br />upper Colorado River gauge indicated this bias was <br />probably no more than 1° C. Using the suitability <br />indices that we assigned to the growth-rate versus <br />temperature relation of Black & Bulkley (1985a), <br />we estimated the relative suitability of each tem- <br />perature regime by summing the indices for its <br />average-monthly temperatures. <br />Age-0 growth analysis <br />Mean total lengths of age-0 Colorado squawfish <br />captured from the Green and upper Colorado riv- <br />ers in fall (mid September-mid October) were ob- <br />tained from Tyus et al. (1987) and from the U.S. <br />Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS) and Utah Divi- <br />sion of Wildlife Resources (unpublished data). <br />These data were compared to the relative suitabil- <br />ity of the annual temperature regime for their re- <br />spective rivers for the year of capture. <br />Population simulation <br />We used a simple simulation technique to demon- <br />strate how growth rate can affect survival in pop- <br />ulations of slow- and fast-growing fish. Beginning <br />populations consisted of 1000 female larvae 10 mm <br />long, which we arbitrarily accepted as being the <br />.` <br />