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289 <br /> <br />~ 600 <br />500 <br />400 <br />~ 300 <br />O <br />~ 200 <br />N <br />100 <br />^ Colorado River (Seethaler 1978) <br />• Green-Yampa Rivers (Vanicek & Kramer 1969) <br />* Green-Yampa Rivers (Seethaler 1978) <br />- Pond (Osmundson 1987) <br />Northern pike <br />:`~c <br />~] <br />Largemouth ~ <br />~~ ~ bass ~ <br />~' ~ <br />~. ~[ • <br />T <br />v <br />* <br />1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 <br />Year of f ife <br />Fig. 2. Early-life growth of two widely distributed piscivores, northern pike and largemouth bass (shaded areas show the median 50% of <br />the range of length-at-age values for these species provided by Carlander [1969,1977)), compared to that of Colorado squawfish from <br />the upper Colorado River basin (data derived by Vanicek & Kramer 1969, and Seethaler 1978, using scale annuli). Also shown is <br />early-life growth of Colorado squawfish in a pond near Grand Junction, Colorado (Osmundson 1987). The broken line on the curve for <br />pond fish shows estimated growth used in our simulations. <br />Methods <br />Temperature regime analysis <br />Black &Bulkley (1985a) studied the relation be- <br />tween constant temperature and growth of 45- <br />100 mm long Colorado squawfish given excess <br />food. They reported that growth was optimal at <br />25° C, and that growth at 15, 20, and 30° C was 18, <br />54, and 51% of optimum, respectively. Additional <br />studies by Black &Bulkley (1985b) and Bulkley et <br />al. (1981) indicated that 25° C was the preferred <br />temperature, generally considered the optimum <br />for many physiological processes including growth <br />(e.g. Magnuson et al. 1979), for both yearling and <br />adult Colorado squawfish. Our least-squares ana- <br />lysis of the published data of Black &Bulkley <br />(1985a) suggested that growth ceases at temper- <br />atures below about 13° C, a value supported by <br />observations on seasonal growth of Colorado <br />squawfish in ponds (Osmundson 1987). We as- <br />signed suitability indices to the growth-rate versus <br />temperature relation of Black &Bulkley (1985a) <br />according to the percent of optimum growth that <br />temperatures provided. Thus the suitability indices <br />for temperatures of 25,15, 20, and 30° C were 1.00, <br />0.18, 0.54, and 0.51, respectively, and those for <br />13° C or lower were zero. Indices for intervening <br />temperatures were estimated by interpolation. <br />The growth-rate versus temperature relation for <br />Colorado squawfish reported by Black &Bulkley <br />(1985a) is symmetrical and triangular in shape, <br />whereas those for other species often have a flat <br />dome around the optimum temperature and an <br />absolute value of the slope to the left of the opti- <br />mum less than that to the right (e.g. Magnuson et <br />al. 1979). Because we were concerned that the <br />unusual shape of the Black &Bulkley (1985a) <br />curve might affect our subsequent analyses, we <br />performed preliminary analyses using several dif- <br />