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AN AUGMENTATION PLAN FOR RAZORBACK SUCKER <br />tions and a stocking evaluation plan. The failure of <br />these reintroduction efforts indicated that the con- <br />tinued decline of the razorback sucker is not solely <br />a problem of stocking, but probably a wider prob- <br />lem associated with environmental changes. Thus, <br />any stocking program to reintroduce the razorback <br />sucker must be complimented with some form of <br />habitat enhancement. <br />After the habitat has been enhanced to allow <br />razorback sucker recruitment, the decision of <br />whether or not to stock should be made relative to <br />genetic and demographic criteria. The question of <br />when to initiate stocking is linked with how many <br />individuals are necessary to persist, i.e., population <br />viability (Salwasser et at. 1984). The often-used <br />numbers of individuals necessary to maintain suffi- <br />cient genotypic variation in order to avoid inbreed- <br />ing depression and genetic loss due to drift have <br />been 50 and 500, respectively (Franklin 1980). Al- <br />though this recommendation for short- and long- <br />term variation has been widely cited (Simberloff <br />1988), these criteria were intended only as guide- <br />lines. The lower number was based on agricultural <br />breeding guidelines that allow 1% loss of heterozy- <br />gosity per generation and the higher number on loss <br />of alleles within a single-locus trait in the absence of <br />selection in a single species (Drosophila). Lande <br />(1988) suggested that more complicated genetic <br />variation may require larger populations to prevent <br />losses due to drift. Boyce (1993) stated that the <br />501500 rule was arbitrary and capricious and indi- <br />cated that very few empirical studies define the size <br />of a minimum viable population. Several bird pop- <br />ulations of approximately 200 individuals have per- <br />sisted through time (Thomas 1990). Despite the <br />variation in the numbers suggested for minimum <br />viability, there appears some uniformity among rec- <br />ommendations in the order of magnitude between <br />100 and 1,000 individuals (Thomas 1990). Within <br />this range, variation in species responses and the <br />inability of current science to predict persistence <br />leaves managers with no useful management rules <br />(Simberloff 1988). <br />Despite concern for genetic variation and the <br />ability of a population to adapt to environmental <br />changes, Lande (1988) suggested that most popula- <br />tions become extinct due to demographic rather <br />than genetic factors. He stated that demographic <br />and environmental stochasticity are highly inte- <br />grated. Similarly, Boyce (1992) concluded that de- <br />mographic modeling is more likely to be of practical <br />significance in determining viability. Thus, sufficient <br />numbers of individuals need to exist to ensure <br />growth and survival of a population. Environmental <br />107 <br />factors are important in determining reproductive <br />success, growth rates, and thereby, survival. It is <br />demographic collapse that results in population de- <br />clines that cause lack of genetic variation (Rabb and <br />Lacey 1990). Because of the high longevity of ra- <br />zorback sucker (McCarthy and Minckley 1987), de- <br />mographic stochasticity is tempered against rapid <br />fluctuations in generation size. Therefore, given <br />representation of most age-classes, a smaller popu- <br />lation of razorback sucker would be needed to pro- <br />vide demographic stability than would be needed by <br />a shorter lived species. <br />In an effort to integrate genetic and demographic <br />criteria, a process will be used to assist in deciding <br />whether or not to stock razorback sucker (Figure 3). <br />The logic presented assumes that habitat restora- <br />tion or enhancement has been accomplished to sup- <br />port the numerically depressed population. A pop- <br />ulation size of 250 is arbitrary, but serves as a <br />guideline for the lowest number that represents <br />genetic viability. If it is assumed that the effective <br />population size, N. (Wright 1931; Kimura and Crow <br />1963), is approximately 0.2 of a natural stock (Mace <br />and Lande 1991), a total population of 250 should <br />approximate an effective population size of 50 <br />(Mace and Lande 1991). If a natural population has <br />greater than 250 individuals and is successfully <br />spawning and recruiting, then sufficient genetic vari- <br />ation should exist to prevent inbreeding depression <br />and stocking should not be initiated. Rather, man- <br />agement resources should be directed toward hab- <br />itat rehabilitation or enhancement to remove exist- <br />ing environmental constraints and improve the <br />existing dynamics. If a population exists that has <br />greater than 250 individuals and is not recruiting <br />but maintains a locally adapted genetic stock, stock- <br />ing should be avoided until genetic risk to that <br />population can be assessed and an appropriate <br />course of action defined. The accumulation of na- <br />tive broodstock will be necessary to provide a <br />broodstock for reintroduction if natural recruitment <br />cannot be attained. The introduction of fish from <br />outside the local stock could potentially establish a <br />population that replaces the local genome. If a <br />population is functionally extirpated (i.e., no oppor- <br />tunity for recovery), and the habitat provides the <br />carrying capacity and necessary conditions for sur- <br />vival, then stocking should be initiated. Determina- <br />tion of the stock used to support reintroduction <br />should represent those genotypes that evolved un- <br />der the most similar environment, i.e., nearest <br />neighbor population. Stocking should be termi- <br />nated once natural recruitment has been renewed, <br />but monitoring should be continued.