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Flood Control <br />The Water Control Manual (Corps of Engineer publication signed by Reclamation and the Corps) <br />for Blue Mesa Reservoir requires Reclamation to operate Blue Mesa to prevent flows at Delta <br />from exceeding 15,000 cfs if possible. Reclamation recognizes that flooding becomes an issue in <br />the Delta area with flows less than 15,000 cfs and have historically coordinated operations to <br />keep these flows at Delta below 14,000 cfs when possible. This may still result in localized <br />flooding. <br />There does not appear to be a relationship between the individual NPS desired flow model runs <br />and the peak flows at Delta. It appears that the actual peak at Delta with any one model run is a <br />function of the runoff timing from other tributaries, rather than the date of the NPS desired flow <br />peak or limitations applied to the model runs. The following table compares peak flows at Delta <br />for years when operating for NPS desired flow peaks could have potential impacts. <br />Peak Flows at Delta, Colorado in Selected Years <br />Year Base Run NPS Desired Flow Runs <br />1979 10,000 12,800 - 14,900 <br />1980 10,700 12,100 - 15,400 <br />1983 12,400 13,300 - 14,900 <br />1984 18,800 22,900 - 23,300 <br />1985 16,700 14,100 - 17,500 <br />1993 15,200 15,400 - 17,600 <br />1995 13,900 15,500 - 17,000 <br />1997 10,400 12,700 - 15,100 <br />The specific impact on Delta flooding due to operating to provide NPS desired flows cannot be <br />evaluated from these runs, but the general impacts or potential for impacts can be summarized. <br />General observations from model runs indicate that flooding at Delta may be increased under the <br />conditions summarized in the following table: <br />r? <br />12