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<br />Good Science <br />Everybody loves this one. It is mom and apple pie. What is good <br />science? We pretend to know an awful lot about this natural world of <br />ours, including biodiversity, species requirements and species needs. <br />We don't know squat. We need to learn much more about the life <br />history of the Squawfish before we can be confident of giving a <br />prescription like a doctor would write for a cold. Doctors cannot fix <br />a cold. It is not as simple as taking a prescription and feeling fine <br />in the morning. We cannot fix a species dilemma, either, so we have <br />much more to learn about species, and what constitutes a species and <br />a subspecies. <br />You think you have problems with the Colorado fishes, try this. <br />The American Fisheries Society says there are over 200 distinct <br />subspecies of salmon that are all in trouble and about one-half of <br />those should probably be listed. Three already have been. There are <br />already three law suits on the books. Get ready folks, we are going <br />to have fun on the Columbia River. <br />You think you have problems trying to figure out how to allocate <br />your water? Think about this. Consider dismantling the world's <br />largest hydroelectric power complex. How are we going to do that? <br />Some people suggest that it is necessary to restore these fishes. <br />That is just the hydropower complex, never mind the agriculture, <br />navigation, port development and related industries. Be thankful for <br />the problems that you have. The wonderful problems that you have. <br />Good science, what does it mean? Options for recovery: <br />transplantation, introduction, captive breeding, restoration, how <br />about those for' a start? Instead of fighting over the building of a <br />project, which might have some impact on a species, we need to address <br />the underlying problem that we have torn up, ripped up and unraveled <br />much of the ecosystem. Could we go back and restore some of that <br />damage? Could we spend some money to do that? Would that be such an <br />awful and "communist" thing to do? Spending the public money for <br />restoring some habitat might cause the species to begin recovering. <br />For instance, a new storage project might actually benefit species, <br />water fowl, recreation, and a whole variety of other things. <br /> <br />Risk Assessment <br />The uncertainty that exists in the field of risk assessment <br />always drives the biologists, particularly because their commission <br />is to save the species, towards the most conservative assumptions and <br />conservative approaches. This translates into opposition. The <br />biologist says, "Do not do this because we are not certain what is <br />going to result." However, there are techniques foreseeing risks, <br />or quantifying risks and making judgements that are based on relative <br />risks rather than on absolutes. I submit to you the Jack Ward Thomas <br />committee's efforts on the spotted owl as one of the finest examples. <br />of a concentrated, rigorous scientific approach to the problem of risk <br />assessment. People did not like it because it produced a fairly large <br />number in terms of the acres needed to save the owl throughout its <br />range. However, if you examine their process, and the honesty, the <br />integrity, and the rigor that was applied to the process, it is a <br />model for what we are shooting for. The fact that no one was happy <br />with the results was the best indication that it was an honest <br />process. <br /> <br />70 <br />