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<br />26 <br /> <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />abundance (I 996). The 1995 results could be attributed to increased spawning efforts <br />and larval production stimulated by high summer flows that year. However, Colorado <br />pikeminnow larval size was small and survival poor in 1995 because of a short growing <br />season and reduced habitat availability. Thus, even though many larvae were produced, <br />few survived. <br /> <br />However the 1996 data does not lend itself to flow related explanations. The <br />lowest total larvae production including Colorado pikeminnow, other native and non- <br />native species at Loma was in 1996. This indicates either reduced spawning (adult <br />numbers) or larval survival for all species. In contrast, 1996 was the best year for both <br />yay Colorado pikeminnow and NNC (all species) in Utah backwaters. The fact that <br />both Colorado pikeminnow yay and NNC densities were highest in 1996 suggests <br />increased productivity and reduced competition compared to other years. Also the <br />improved 1996 productivity was in the intermediate flow year, conditions not expected to <br />be more productive for NNC populations than low flow years. The fact that there was <br />decreased upstream productivity (Lorna) simultaneously with increased downstream <br />productivity (Moab) suggests a possible relationship between the two. An unusual <br />situation occurred about that time, the mud slide event at Glenwood Canyon in the <br />, September 1995. This is another example of a non-flow related variable that could <br />potentially have unknown impacts on fish reproductive success. For example, <br />mobilization of mud early in the spring 1996 runoff could have resulted in abnormally <br />heavy siltation during the spring in the upper river concomitant with displacement of <br />invertebrates and/or nutrients downstream. <br /> <br />With only five years of data collection it is not possible to tell if the exceptional <br />Colorado pikeminnow yay density found during backwater samples in 1996 is due to <br />aberrant environmental conditions or if those results would be repeated given similar <br />runoff flows. However even if the 1996 data is ignored, data from 1992 to 1995 strongly <br />indicate that intermediate flow years should provide optimal conditions for survival and <br />recruitment of yay Colorado pikeminnow. <br /> <br />Non-Native Cyprinid Backwater Density (UTAH and ISMP) <br /> <br />Examination ofNNC (fathead minnow, red shiner and sand shiner) abundance has <br />relevance to this study in two arenas. First NNC spend their entire life cycle in backwater <br />habitats. If we assume a positive ecological relationship between NNC abundance and <br />habitat and forage availability, so their abundance in a given year is an indicator of <br />resource abundance. Secondly, since Colorado pikeminnow utilize the same habitats as <br />NNC competition occurs when mutual resources (habitat and forage) are limiting. <br />Therefore trends in NNC density are useful for explaining trends in Colorado pikeminnow <br />yay densities from backwater habitats. <br /> <br />The NNC density was higher in the low runoff years probably due to extended and <br />improved conditions for growth, reproduction and survival. If average NNC density <br />estimates are a good indicator of annual productivity potential, then in general it appears <br />that low flow years had better potential than high flow years. However 1996, the <br />