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<br />10 <br /> <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />3.1.3. Modde and Smith (1995) <br /> <br />Modde and Smith developed flow recommendations for the Yampa River by ranking estimated <br />daily "virgin" flows at the Maybell gage for each of the non-runoff months (August-March) for <br />water-years 1950-82 (Hydrosphere 1995). Based on this ranking, they categorized estimated <br />virgin flows typical of wet conditions (flows exceeded 20% of the time), normal conditions (flows <br />exceeded 50% of the time) and dry conditions (flows exceeded 80% of the time). <br /> <br />The 80% exceedance flows were the basis for the dry-year flow recommendations during non- <br />runoff months (see Table 3 in Section 5). However, the Service did not recommend that flows <br />be held constant at these monthly exceedance levels. These flows represent monthly means, <br />rather than flow constants. To mimic the natural diurnal variability of the hydrograph, daily flows <br />should vary about this monthly mean, exceeding the mean during some portions of any month, <br />while falling below it at other times. During runoff periods, recommended flows also vary, based <br />on the variable natural flows minus a fixed depletion base line. <br /> <br />3.1.4. Colorado Division of Wildlife (1995) <br /> <br />The CDOW considered the September flow recommendation of Modde and Smith (45 cfs) to be <br />inadequate to protect the endangered fishes. CDOW adopted a flow of 88 cfs in September for <br />Colorado's instream flow application, based on its best professional judgement. It was apparent <br />that low-flow recommendations were needed based on the needs of fishes rather than statistical <br />analyses of virgin conditions. <br /> <br />3.1.5. Modde, Miller and Anderson (1999) <br /> <br />The RIP initiated a study of the potential impacts of low flows on the riverine environment to <br />determine the low-flow requirements of endangered fishes and if some form of stream flow <br />management is necessary or desirable during the low-flow period. The study also investigated <br />biological components of riverine habitat used by both endangered species and nonnative game <br />fish (channel catfish and northern pike). Endangered species studied were the humpback chub <br />in Dinosaur National Monument and Colorado pikeminnow from the Green River upstream to <br />Craig, Colorado. <br /> <br />Conducted over two years (1996-97), the study included measurements of channel width, depth, <br />velocity and other physical attributes of the river as a function of flow for each of three <br />"mesohabitat" types: pools, riffles, and runs. In their 1999 report entitled Determination of Habitat <br />Availability, Habitat Use, and Flow Needs of Endangered Fishes in the Yampa River Between <br />August and October, Modde et al. found that riffle habitats were particularly important for <br />Colorado pikeminnow due to the abundance of macroinvertebrates in riffles and the relative <br />sensitivity of riffles to changes in stream flow. They estimated that the rate of loss of riffle <br />habitat was greatest at flows below 93 cfs in the Yampa River between its confluence with the <br />Green River and Craig, Colorado. The authors acknowledged that low flows may have occurred <br />during drought conditions prior to the advent of irrigated agriculture. They also found that viable <br />populations of two endangered fish species continue to exist in the Yampa River even though <br />- <br />daily average flows have fallen below 93 cfs to some extent in 34 out of 81 years of the gage <br />record at Maybell. However, they concluded that depletions from the river could adversely <br />impact endangered fish during droughts by extending or deepening these low-flow periods. <br />Severe droughts or frequent, prolonged periods of below-normal base flows may adversely affect <br />even native fish that are adapted to occasional droughts. This research led to the following <br />conclusions and recommendations: <br />