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was expected. Usually this happens because management questions are not posed in <br />ecosystem (whole-catchment) context and actions evolve as interferences with the <br />natural ecosystem connectivity. The example of introducing Mysis as a forage stimulus <br />for sport fishes in a very tightly coupled system interfered with the quasi-equilibrium of <br />the Flathead Lake food web and produced atrophic cascade that ultimately displaced <br />a critically important population of bald eagle. <br />On a larger scale, influences far downstream may have unanticipated effects on <br />the operations of the two large dams in the catchment. In particular, we are concerned <br />that efforts to increase the runs of Pacific salmon and steelhead downstream in the <br />middle and lower reaches of the Columbia River may interfere with mitigation efforts in <br />the Flathead Basin and other headwater reaches that never contained anadromous <br />fishes due to natural barriers. The plight of the anadromous salmonid fishery involves <br />overharvest, continually increasing dominance of runs by cultured stocks (apparently at <br />the expense of naturally reproducing runs, owing to genetic introgression and <br />increased harvest), predation of wild and cultured smolts by resident fishes, highly <br />variable oceanic survival, and passage problems created by the nine mainstem dams <br />(Ebel et al. 1989). Prominent in this discussion is the fact that early summer flood crest <br />of the Columbia River has been eliminated by storage of the spring spate in four large <br />reservoirs (Hungry Horse, Dvorshak, Libby and Mica) in the headwaters. Historically, <br />the flood pulse of the river not only flushed smolts along on their outmigration, it also <br />stimulated bioproduction in the estuarine food web which sustained the fisheries <br />(Simenstad et al. this volume). Recovery plans for the fisheries call for a water budget <br />for the river that mandates "fish flows" that will very likely interact with the economics of <br />hydropower production and the need for flood control in a manner that will introduce a <br />large measure of uncertainty in operations of the headwater dams. Unless the needs <br />of resident fishes directly influenced by these dams have equal priority with <br />downstream objectives, mitigation of resident fish and wildlife in the headwater <br />segments may be compromised by actions for anadromous fishes. <br />Another related problem is the tendency of today's managers to use <br />standardized methodology that often relies on little or no empirical data or data that <br />have little or no predictive power at the ecosystem level. Because of the natural <br />complexities of river ecosystems, the intractability of cumulative effects in large <br />catchments and the cost of long-term data acquisition, managers too often tend to seek <br />simple answers to complex problems. Often this involves nothing more than a <br />formalization and synthesis of "best professional judgment" with no ecological rationale <br />that is empirically based. <br />20