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<br />FINAL REPORT, November 2003 <br />High-jlow Requirements for the Duchesne River <br /> <br />where h is the sum of all area between the two curves, DT is the magnitude of the displacement <br />vector, r is the spatially-variable azimuth ofthe displacement vector, and m is the amplitude of <br />the sinusoidal curves. The magnitude of DT is equal to the root mean square ofthe positional <br />errors associated with each ofthe two coverages. The azimuth (r) is unknown, but is equally <br />likely to take any value between 0 degrees and 359 degrees. Because of the symmetry of the <br />curve, only values between 0 degrees and 90 degrees need be considered. The mean value of h <br />for all possible azimuths is determined as: <br />1 ~ <br />h = 1[/ f h dr <br />/2 0 <br />Another pair of sinusoidal curves is needed to represent the opposite river bank, so that the <br />expected total planimetric error (Ga) is equal to 2h. The average displacement error calculated <br />in this manner represents the area of false polygons expected to result from the spatial overlay of <br />two independent coverages (Table 5). <br />We experimentally evaluated the proportion of Ga that would remain uncompensated by <br />real change with computer simulations in which two sinusoidal curves, one representing error <br />displacements and one representing real changes in channel position, were independently <br />displaced. The mean and standard deviation of the uncompensated area between the two <br />displaced curves was numerically determined for all possible combinations of displacement <br />azimuths. Simulation results showed that the expected uncompensated planimetric errors (Gae) <br />for the six overlays range between I percent and 10 percent of the measured areas of erosion and <br />deposition (Table 5). Subtracting Gae from the measured areas of change gives an improved <br />estimate for the actual area of change. The standard deviations of the simulated uncompensated <br />planimetric errors were used to calculate uncertainty margins about the corrected estimates of <br />erosion and deposition areas. These margins of error are denoted by Gau, and range between <br />about 8 percent and 20 percent for the six overlays (Table 5). A more detailed description of the <br />methods used for calculating Gau is given in Gaeuman et al. (submitted). <br />The areas of displacement errors calculated from the original RMS errors associated with <br />the digitized coverages overestimate the actual probable displacement errors by an unknown <br />amount. Actual errors are reduced in this study by manual corrections applied t9 the coverages <br />before overlay. Some false polygons generated by displacement errors are obvious, and help to <br /> <br />(4) <br /> <br />20 <br />