<br />Joseph H. Connell
<br />
<br />examine the situation in which the prey
<br />is relatively much smaller than the preda-
<br />tor, i.e., as in the lower portion of the
<br />figure. Along any horizontal line, with a
<br />constant ratio of body sizes of prey and
<br />predator, the probability of mortality from
<br />predation decreases toward the right as
<br />the physical conditions become more
<br />harsh, because of a progressive reduction
<br />in the period of activity of the predator.
<br />Along a vertical line, representing a par-
<br />ticular degree of physical severity, the
<br />probability of mortality increases up-
<br />wards, as the prey become relatively
<br />larger. The reason is that very small prey
<br />are usuaIly not eaten by a large predator;
<br />they are ignored, or not caught by the
<br />meshes of its filter, etc. Presumably there
<br />is a size of prey below which there is too
<br />Iowan energy return for the effort ex-
<br />pended. These two tendencies cause the
<br />contour lines of equal probability of death
<br />to slant upwards to the right in the lower
<br />portion of Figure 2.
<br />In the upper part of Figure 2, the prey
<br />are relatively larger. As before, along any
<br />horizontal line the probability decreases
<br />as the physical regime becomes steeper.
<br />However, along a vertical line at a partic-
<br />ular physical regime, the probability of
<br />death decreases upward. As a prey indi-
<br />vidual grows, it becomes too large for a
<br />particular predator to attack. This also
<br />tends to reduce the number of species of
<br />predators that can attack it. These ten-
<br />dencies cause the contour lines to slant
<br />downwards to the right.
<br />The shape of the contour lines would
<br />vary with different combinations of prey,
<br />predator, and physical regime. I have
<br />drawn them as they probably apply to the
<br />
<br />482
<br />
<br />species on rocky seashores. The situation
<br />in Figure 2 applies to predators and prey
<br />that have similar physiological charac-
<br />teristics, for example, marine organisms.
<br />In other instances, they may have quite
<br />different physiologies. For example, along
<br />shores of lakes or oceans, land animals
<br />feed on aquatic species. In this case, a
<br />mirror image of Figure 2 would be appro-
<br />priate, since as the physical regime be-
<br />comes less severe for the aquatic prey
<br />(toward the left), it would become more
<br />severe for the terrestrial predator.
<br />The effect of the direct action of physi-
<br />cal conditions on organisms of different
<br />sizes is shown in Figure 3. Along a hori-
<br />zontal line the probability of death per
<br />unit time increases toward the right. Up-
<br />ward along a vertical line the probability
<br />decreases since, as an individual grows, it
<br />becomes less vulnerable to the physical
<br />environment. These trends cause the con-
<br />tour lines of equal probability to slant
<br />upwards to the left. Again, the shape of
<br />the curves will depend upon the charac-
<br />teristics of the species and physical re-
<br />gime.
<br />In Figures 4 and 5 I have combined the
<br />first two diagrams to illustrate the effect
<br />both of predators and of different physical
<br />regimes on the mortality of the prey. Fig-
<br />ure 4 represents small prey, so uses only
<br />the lower portion of Figure 2. When prey
<br />are very small, they tend to be ignored by
<br />larger predators so that mortality is due
<br />mainly to physical harshness. As prey
<br />grow, they escape this hazard except
<br />where conditions are very severe. In very
<br />benign conditions, larger prey soon attract
<br />the notice of predators that tend to be
<br />active much of the time. In conditions of
<br />
<br />
<br />16 Producing Structure in Natural
<br />Communities
<br />
<br />intermediate severity, they escape the at-
<br />tentions of the less active predators for a
<br />longer time, and having passed the very
<br />young stages at which they are vulnerable
<br />to variations in physical conditions, they
<br />may be safe for a while. If local popula-
<br />tion densities are high enough, competi-
<br />tion may take place during this interval
<br />before predation begins to reduce the
<br />populations.
<br />Fil1.ure 5, which combines most of Fig-
<br />ure 2' with Figure 3, represents the situa-
<br />tion in which the prey grow to a relatively
<br />large body size. Once they have grown
<br />large enough to be less vulnerable to
<br />physical factors, they mayor may nOI be
<br />safe from predators for a short while, but
<br />soon are attacked. However, if they sur-
<br />vive long enough, they may reach an in-
<br />vulnerable size. (These diagrams do not
<br />take into account the fact that prey even-
<br />tually become vulnerable again in old
<br />age.)
<br />The situation in Figure 4 is exemplified
<br />by the two species of barnacles thaI com-
<br />peted only at intermediate intertidal levels
<br />in Scotland (Connell, 1961b). After elimi-
<br />nating Chthamalus in competition, Bala-
<br />/lUS was eaten by predatory snails, except
<br />in a refuge high on the shore. Balanus
<br />cariosus fits both Figures 4 and 5, depend-
<br />ing upon the relative size of its predators.
<br />With small predators it is able to grow too
<br />large to be attacked (Figure 5), but with
<br />the large starfish it fits Figure 4. Many
<br />prey species probably pass through a sim-
<br />ilar series of ever larger preda tors.
<br />Species of prey that never grow very
<br />large compared with their'predators, such
<br />as the aquatic plankton or small land
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<br />483
<br />
<br />plants or animals, are represented by Fig-
<br />ure 4. Large plants and animals would be
<br />more closely represented by Figure 5.
<br />
<br />Summary
<br />
<br />The distribution and abundance of a
<br />species are ultimately determined by tol-
<br />erances to extremes of physical conditions,
<br />but a species is usually limited to a smaIler
<br />range of habitats and population size by
<br />interactions with other organisms. The
<br />evidence reviewed in this paper, taken
<br />mainly from controlled field experiments
<br />on invertebrates and plants, suggests that
<br />many species seldom reach population
<br />densities great enough to compete for re-
<br />sources, because either physical extremes
<br />or predation eliminates or suppresses
<br />them in their young stages.
<br />Species may sometimes escape these
<br />hazards to reach high densities in various
<br />ways. One way is through large size, which
<br />reduces vulnerability to harsh weather and
<br />predation, but the problem for a young
<br />individual is to reach a large enough size
<br />before it is killed. Strong parental care
<br />helps as in many vertebrates, but offspring
<br />without care will escape only during occa-
<br />sional reductions in predation or harsh
<br />weather. Such escapes may produce widely
<br />spaced "dominant year-classes." Once
<br />they reach large size, they may compete
<br />for resources and suppress smaller individ-
<br />uals. Examples are forest trees, large ses-
<br />sile aquatic animals, etc. A model of this
<br />situation is presented.
<br />Second, some species can never grow so
<br />large as to escape predation. They may
<br />escape for a while if they are too small
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