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<br />Joseph H. Connell <br /> <br />examine the situation in which the prey <br />is relatively much smaller than the preda- <br />tor, i.e., as in the lower portion of the <br />figure. Along any horizontal line, with a <br />constant ratio of body sizes of prey and <br />predator, the probability of mortality from <br />predation decreases toward the right as <br />the physical conditions become more <br />harsh, because of a progressive reduction <br />in the period of activity of the predator. <br />Along a vertical line, representing a par- <br />ticular degree of physical severity, the <br />probability of mortality increases up- <br />wards, as the prey become relatively <br />larger. The reason is that very small prey <br />are usuaIly not eaten by a large predator; <br />they are ignored, or not caught by the <br />meshes of its filter, etc. Presumably there <br />is a size of prey below which there is too <br />Iowan energy return for the effort ex- <br />pended. These two tendencies cause the <br />contour lines of equal probability of death <br />to slant upwards to the right in the lower <br />portion of Figure 2. <br />In the upper part of Figure 2, the prey <br />are relatively larger. As before, along any <br />horizontal line the probability decreases <br />as the physical regime becomes steeper. <br />However, along a vertical line at a partic- <br />ular physical regime, the probability of <br />death decreases upward. As a prey indi- <br />vidual grows, it becomes too large for a <br />particular predator to attack. This also <br />tends to reduce the number of species of <br />predators that can attack it. These ten- <br />dencies cause the contour lines to slant <br />downwards to the right. <br />The shape of the contour lines would <br />vary with different combinations of prey, <br />predator, and physical regime. I have <br />drawn them as they probably apply to the <br /> <br />482 <br /> <br />species on rocky seashores. The situation <br />in Figure 2 applies to predators and prey <br />that have similar physiological charac- <br />teristics, for example, marine organisms. <br />In other instances, they may have quite <br />different physiologies. For example, along <br />shores of lakes or oceans, land animals <br />feed on aquatic species. In this case, a <br />mirror image of Figure 2 would be appro- <br />priate, since as the physical regime be- <br />comes less severe for the aquatic prey <br />(toward the left), it would become more <br />severe for the terrestrial predator. <br />The effect of the direct action of physi- <br />cal conditions on organisms of different <br />sizes is shown in Figure 3. Along a hori- <br />zontal line the probability of death per <br />unit time increases toward the right. Up- <br />ward along a vertical line the probability <br />decreases since, as an individual grows, it <br />becomes less vulnerable to the physical <br />environment. These trends cause the con- <br />tour lines of equal probability to slant <br />upwards to the left. Again, the shape of <br />the curves will depend upon the charac- <br />teristics of the species and physical re- <br />gime. <br />In Figures 4 and 5 I have combined the <br />first two diagrams to illustrate the effect <br />both of predators and of different physical <br />regimes on the mortality of the prey. Fig- <br />ure 4 represents small prey, so uses only <br />the lower portion of Figure 2. When prey <br />are very small, they tend to be ignored by <br />larger predators so that mortality is due <br />mainly to physical harshness. As prey <br />grow, they escape this hazard except <br />where conditions are very severe. In very <br />benign conditions, larger prey soon attract <br />the notice of predators that tend to be <br />active much of the time. In conditions of <br /> <br /> <br />16 Producing Structure in Natural <br />Communities <br /> <br />intermediate severity, they escape the at- <br />tentions of the less active predators for a <br />longer time, and having passed the very <br />young stages at which they are vulnerable <br />to variations in physical conditions, they <br />may be safe for a while. If local popula- <br />tion densities are high enough, competi- <br />tion may take place during this interval <br />before predation begins to reduce the <br />populations. <br />Fil1.ure 5, which combines most of Fig- <br />ure 2' with Figure 3, represents the situa- <br />tion in which the prey grow to a relatively <br />large body size. Once they have grown <br />large enough to be less vulnerable to <br />physical factors, they mayor may nOI be <br />safe from predators for a short while, but <br />soon are attacked. However, if they sur- <br />vive long enough, they may reach an in- <br />vulnerable size. (These diagrams do not <br />take into account the fact that prey even- <br />tually become vulnerable again in old <br />age.) <br />The situation in Figure 4 is exemplified <br />by the two species of barnacles thaI com- <br />peted only at intermediate intertidal levels <br />in Scotland (Connell, 1961b). After elimi- <br />nating Chthamalus in competition, Bala- <br />/lUS was eaten by predatory snails, except <br />in a refuge high on the shore. Balanus <br />cariosus fits both Figures 4 and 5, depend- <br />ing upon the relative size of its predators. <br />With small predators it is able to grow too <br />large to be attacked (Figure 5), but with <br />the large starfish it fits Figure 4. Many <br />prey species probably pass through a sim- <br />ilar series of ever larger preda tors. <br />Species of prey that never grow very <br />large compared with their'predators, such <br />as the aquatic plankton or small land <br /> <br />483 <br /> <br />plants or animals, are represented by Fig- <br />ure 4. Large plants and animals would be <br />more closely represented by Figure 5. <br /> <br />Summary <br /> <br />The distribution and abundance of a <br />species are ultimately determined by tol- <br />erances to extremes of physical conditions, <br />but a species is usually limited to a smaIler <br />range of habitats and population size by <br />interactions with other organisms. The <br />evidence reviewed in this paper, taken <br />mainly from controlled field experiments <br />on invertebrates and plants, suggests that <br />many species seldom reach population <br />densities great enough to compete for re- <br />sources, because either physical extremes <br />or predation eliminates or suppresses <br />them in their young stages. <br />Species may sometimes escape these <br />hazards to reach high densities in various <br />ways. One way is through large size, which <br />reduces vulnerability to harsh weather and <br />predation, but the problem for a young <br />individual is to reach a large enough size <br />before it is killed. Strong parental care <br />helps as in many vertebrates, but offspring <br />without care will escape only during occa- <br />sional reductions in predation or harsh <br />weather. Such escapes may produce widely <br />spaced "dominant year-classes." Once <br />they reach large size, they may compete <br />for resources and suppress smaller individ- <br />uals. Examples are forest trees, large ses- <br />sile aquatic animals, etc. A model of this <br />situation is presented. <br />Second, some species can never grow so <br />large as to escape predation. They may <br />escape for a while if they are too small <br /> <br />