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<br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />Appendix C <br />Hydrologic Modeling Analysis <br /> <br />Introduction. <br /> <br />This appendix details the analysis process for determining impacts to hydrology from <br />operation of the No Action Alternative, the 250/5000 Alternative (Preferred Alternative), <br />and the 500/5000 Alternative. The results of this modeling effort are also presented. <br /> <br />Understanding the impact of the alternatives on the water resources of the San Juan River <br />basin requires modeling the complex relationships associated with multiple diversion and <br />return flow points in the basin. A number of basin-scale models exist that take hydrologic <br />input data and simulate the behavior of various processes under different sets of water <br />allocation and infrastructure management. A distinguishing feature of these simulation <br />models is their ability to assess water resource system responses over the long term. <br /> <br />There are several best-science river basin simulation models available, anyone of which <br />would be appropriate for developing and analyzing San Juan River flow recommendations. <br />RiverWare was selected primarily because of its flexibility and capability to simulate all key <br />features within the San Juan River Basin. RiverWare has been implemented in the San Juan <br />Basin since 1998 in support of assessing the relationship between flow recommendations for <br />endangered fish in the San Juan River and water development. This implementation has <br />been completed by the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation (Reclamation) and Keller-Bliesner <br />Engineering as a consultant for the U.S. Bureau of Indian Affairs (BIA). The application for <br />this analysis is an extension of that work. <br /> <br />Modeling Approach <br /> <br />RiverWare.-RiverWare is a generic hydrologic modeling tool using an object- <br />oriented design and a graphical user interface (Gill) to allow users to develop data-driven <br />and variable time-step models for both planning and operational uses. Because of its <br />flexible and extensible design, it can be readily customized to fit specialized modeling needs <br />for any river system. One of the features of RiverWare is its ability to solve a river basin <br />network (developed by the user with the graphical user interface) with different controllers <br />or solution techniques. Currently, there are three different controllers: simulation, rule- <br />based simulation, and optimization. A fourth controller for water ownership and <br />accounting is currently being developed. RiverWare has been in development since 1993 <br />and is the result of a continuing collaborative effort between the Center for Advanced <br />Decision Support for Water and Environmental Systems at the University of Colorado, <br />Reclamation, and the Tennessee Valley Authority (TV A). <br /> <br />A model of a river system network is constructed by placing objects from a palette onto a <br />work space using the Gill. Objects in RiverWare represent the features of a river basin. The <br />objects supported by RiverWare are storage reservoirs, power reservoirs, pumped storage <br />reservoirs, river reaches, aggregate river reaches, confluences, aggregate diversions for <br /> <br />C-1 <br />