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<br />issue in operating under real conditions. While recommended peaks are not consistently met, <br />operations would significantly improve habitat conditions for the fish. Base flows for the <br />endangered fish are met over 95 percent of the time, and minimum flows in the lower 3 miles of <br />the Gunnison River, recommended for fish passage, are met over 90 percent of the time under <br />model runs that include recommended flows. Overall, the model runs show changes in Aspinall <br />Unit operations, while not fully meeting flow recommendations, could meet the recommendations <br />to a greater degree and would benefit the endangered fish and their habitat. However, as discussed <br />below, there are significant negative impacts associated with attempting to meet the flow <br />recommendations. <br /> <br />Model runs show operating to meet the draft recommended fish flows would result in negative <br />impacts to the operation and purposes of the Aspinall Unit that are inconsistent with the intent of <br />the authorizing legislation. Operating to meet the flow recommendations does not create <br />additional water in the river on an annual basis; it redistributes flows, with increased flows at one <br />time of the year and decreased flows at another. Impacts to purposes such as generation of <br />hydroelectric power, downstream flood protection, reservoir recreation, Colorado's Compact <br />entitlement, and reservoir fisheries are discussed in this report. Preliminary analysis shows the <br />greatest negative impact would be on reliable reservoir yield for use in Colorado and on reservoir <br />recreation and fisheries. Operating the Aspinall Unit to meet the draft flow recommendations to a <br />greater extent would increase these negative impacts. This report does not evaluate impacts on <br />other private and Federal water supplies, water rights, or diversion structures. Negative impacts <br />of partially meeting the draft recommended fish flows include: <br /> <br />- foregone hydroelectric power averaging 7,000-11,000 megawatt hours (1 megawatt hour = <br />1,000 kilowatts hours) annually <br />- reduced ability to response to power system emergencies - This response is limited when <br />Crystal is spilling. Operating to meet peak flow~recommendations increases the number of <br />Crystal spills. <br />- increased operation and maintenance costs due to increased spillway and bypass use <br />- impacts to reservoir fishery and reservoir recreation due to reduced reservoir levels <br />- increased risk of downstream flooding - Days exceeding 12,000 cfs increased downstream <br />flooding from 10 - 13 days; at 15,000 cfs, flooding increased an additional 4 days. <br />- reduced reservoir yield with possible impacts on Colorado's Compact use (ranging from a <br />loss of 150,000 to 200,000 acre-feet to no impact depending on hydrologic year) - Existing <br />agreements governing Taylor Park and Aspinall operations could be impacted. <br /> <br />Operating criteria would need to be further adjusted and storage releases increased to more fully <br />meet the recommended flows. Structural modifications, including additional outlet works at the <br />three dams, could also be required to safely operate the Aspinall Unit facilities to meet flow <br />recommendations at the frequencies recommended for the endangered fish. <br /> <br />Reclamation plans to complete an environmental impact statement on alternative operations to <br />help meet the endangered fish recommendations when the recommendations are final. The <br />existing model to analyze the draft fish flows will be upgraded and integrated with State resources <br />to assess impacts to other water uses in this process. In addition, Reclamation will work with the <br /> <br />IV <br />