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<br />Attachment A <br /> <br />RiverWare Hydrology Model Background <br /> <br />RiverWare is a software modeling tool developed by CADSWES (University of Colorado) for the Bureau <br />of Reclamation and the Tennessee Valley Authority for operation and planning studies of river basins and <br />river systems. A daily planning model of the Gunnison River was developed using the RiverWare <br />modeling software. The model includes the Gunnison River Basin from Blue Mesa Reservoir to the <br />confluence with the Colorado River. The modeling period runs from January 1975 through December <br />2000. <br /> <br />The model separates reservoir operations into 3 time periods: January-March, April-July, and August- <br />December. Basic daily inputs to the model are: historic Blue Mesa inflows, both actual and unregulated; <br />historic side inflows to Morrow Point and Crystal; Gunnison Tunnel diversions; and various downstream <br />gains computed from actual gage data. Other data provided as input to the model include forecasted <br />inflow and tunnel demands for each forecast period. <br /> <br />Forecast data, both reservoir inflow and tunnel demand, is for the current forecast period and can be input <br />on any day, generally on the first day of the month and then again on the fifteenth, if available. Forecast <br />data for the last month of the forecast period generally has to be adjusted (sometimes daily) to reflect that <br />as the end of a forecast period is approached, there is nearly 100 percent accuracy. The model determines <br />remaining forecasted inflow and demand by subtracting the int10ws or demands to date from the most <br />recent forecast data available. Remaining minimum canyon demands, which include trout spawning and <br />incubation flows. are computed at various times in the model since these demands are dependent upon <br />flOws that occur during the model run. <br /> <br />The flow recommendations are for a point at Whitewater on the river system about 80 miles downstream <br />of the Aspinall Unit. Flow recommendations vary on the type of water year forecast. Six different <br />recommended flow hydro graphs for this point on the river have been developed using the information <br />contained in the "Flow Recommendation to Benefit Endangered Fishes in the Colorado and Gunnison <br />Rivers", March 2001. This report identified a 2 day peak flow with shoulder flows and base flows under <br />different hydrologic conditions. Tributaries between the Aspinall Unit and the Whitewater gage <br />(measuring point) provide a portion of the recommended flow. <br /> <br />The Flow Recommendation Report indicates a peak flow should occur between May 15th and June 15th. <br />Preliminary analysis of tributary peak flows during May indicate that making peak releases from the <br />Aspinall Unit between May 20-22 would provide the best chance of matching the tributary peak and <br />reduce the volume of water released specifically for the recommended flows. An estimate of the unmet <br />portion ofthe recommended flow hydrograph for each year was computed outside the RiverWare Model <br />using estimated hydro graphs for the tributaries. The flow recommendation demand hydro graph was <br />input as a demand in the canyon immediately below the Aspinall Unit. The flow recommendation <br />demand hydro graph is included as a downstream demand on Aspinall and is included as part of the total <br />canyon demands. Because the demand hydro graph is based on estimated tributary hydrographs, the <br />recommended flow at Whitewater may be exceeded or not entirely met depending on the accuracy of the <br />projected tributary flows. <br /> <br />A -1-' <br />