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Virginia has increased juvenile abun- <br />dances of native striped bass. Mim- <br />icking short-duration flow spikes that <br />are historically caused by summer <br />thunderstorms in the regulated Pecos <br />River of New Mexico has benefited <br />the reproductive success of the Pecos <br />bluntnose shiner: <br />We also recognize that there are <br />scientific limits to how precisely the <br />natural flow regime for a particular <br />river can be defined. It is possible to <br />have only an approximate knowl- <br />edge of the historic condition of a <br />river, both because some human ac- <br />tivities may have preceded the instal- <br />lation of flow gauges, and because <br />climate conditions may have changed <br />over the past century or more. Fur- <br />thermore, in many rivers, year-to- <br />year differences in the timing and <br />quantity of flow result in substantial <br />variability around any average flow <br />condition. Accordingly, managing <br />for the "average" condition can be <br />misguided. For example, in human- <br />altered rivers that are managed for <br />incremental improvements, restoring <br />a flow pattern that is simply propor- <br />tional to the natural hydrograph in <br />years with little runoff may provide <br />few if any ecological benefits, be- <br />cause many geomorphic and eco- <br />logical processes show nonlinear re- <br />sponses to flow. Clearly, half of the <br />peak discharge will not move half of <br />the sediment, half of a migration- <br />motivational flow will not motivate <br />half of the fish, and half of an <br />overbank flow will not inundate half <br />of the floodplain. In such rivers, more <br />ecological benefits would accrue <br />from capitalizing on the natural be- <br />tween-year variability in flow. For <br />example, in years with above-aver- <br />age flow, "surplus" water could be <br />used to exceed flow thresholds that <br />drive critical geomorphic and eco- <br />logical processes. <br />If full flow restoration is impos- <br />sible, mimicking certain geomorphic <br />processes may provide some ecologi- <br />cal benefits. Well-timed irrigation <br />could stimulate recruitment of val- <br />ued riparian trees such as cotton- <br />woods (Friedman et al. 1995). Stra- <br />tegically clearing vegetation from <br />river banks could provide new <br />sources of gravel for sediment- <br />starved regulated rivers with reduced <br />peak flows (e.g., Ligon et al. 1995). <br />In all situations, managers will be <br />required to make judgments about <br />specific restoration goals and to work <br />with appropriate components of the <br />natural flow regime to achieve those <br />goals. Recognition of the natural flow <br />variability and careful identification <br />of key processes that are linked to <br />various components of the flow re- <br />gime are critical to making these <br />judgments. <br />Setting specific goals to restore a <br />more natural regime in rivers with <br />altered flows (or, equally important, <br />to preserve unaltered flows in pristine <br />rivers) should ideally be a cooperative <br />process involving river scientists, re- <br />source managers, and appropriate <br />stakeholders. The details of this pro- <br />cess will vary depending on the spe- <br />cific objectives for the river in ques- <br />tion, the degree to which its flow <br />regime and other environmental vari- <br />ables (e.g., thermal regime, sediment <br />supply) have been altered, and the <br />social and economic constraints that <br />are in play. Establishing specific cri- <br />teria for flow restoration will be chal- <br />lenging because our understanding <br />of the interactions of individual flow <br />components with geomorphic and <br />ecological processes is incomplete. <br />However, quantitative, river-specific <br />standards can, in principle, be devel- <br />oped based on the reconstruction of <br />the natural flow regime (e.g., Rich- <br />ter et al. 1997). Restoration actions <br />based on such guidelines should be <br />viewed as experiments to be moni- <br />tored and evaluated-that is, adap- <br />tive management-to provide criti- <br />cal new knowledge for creative <br />management of natural ecosystem <br />variability (Table 3). <br />To manage rivers from this new <br />perspective, some policy changes are <br />needed. The narrow regulatory fo- <br />cus on minimum flows and single <br />species impedes enlightened river <br />management and restoration, as do <br />the often conflicting mandates of the <br />many agencies and organizations that <br />are involved in the process. Revi- <br />sions of laws and regulations, and <br />redefinition of societal goals and poli- <br />cies, are essential to enable managers <br />to use the best science to develop ap- <br />propriate management programs. <br />Using science to guide ecosystem <br />management requires that basic and <br />applied research address difficult <br />questions in complex, real-world set- <br />tings, in which experimental con- <br />trols and statistical replication are <br />often impossible. Too little attention <br />and too few resources have been de- <br />voted to clarifying hove restoring <br />specific components of the flow re- <br />gime will benefit the entire ecosys- <br />tem. Nevertheless, it is clear that, <br />whenever possible, the natural river <br />system should be allowed to repair <br />and maintain itself. This approach is <br />likely to be the most successful and <br />the least expensive way to restore <br />and maintain the ecological integrity <br />of flow-altered rivers (Stanford et al. <br />1996). Although the most effective <br />mix of human-aided and natural re- <br />covery methods will vary with the <br />river, we believe that existing knowl- <br />edge makes a strong case that restor- <br />ing natural flows should be a corner- <br />stone of our management approach <br />to river ecosystems. <br />Acknowledgments <br />We thank the following people for <br />reading and commenting on earlier <br />versions of this paper: Jack Schmidt, <br />Lou Toth, Mike Scott, David Wegner, <br />Gary Meffe, Mary Power, Kurt <br />Fausch, Jack Stanford, Bob Naiman, <br />Don Duff, John Epifanio, Lori <br />Robertson, Jeff Baumgartner, Tim <br />Randle, David Harpman, Mike <br />Armbruster, and Thomas Payne. <br />Members of the Hydropower Re- <br />form Coalition also offered construc- <br />tive comments. Excellent final re- <br />views were provided by Greg Auble, <br />Carter Johnson, an anonymous re- <br />viewer, and the editor of BioScience. <br />Robin Abell contributed to the de- <br />velopment of the timeline in Figure <br />5, and graphics assistance was pro- <br />vided by Teresa Peterson (Figure 3), <br />Matthew Chew (Figure 4) and Robin <br />Abell and Jackie Howard (Figure 5). <br />We also thank the national offices of <br />Trout Unlimited and American Riv- <br />ers for encouraging the expression of <br />the ideas presented here. We espe- <br />cially thank the George Gund Foun- <br />dation for providing a grant to hold <br />a one-day workshop, and The Na- <br />ture Conservancy for providing lo- <br />gistical support for several of the <br />authors prior to the workshop. <br />References cited <br />Abramovitz JN. 1996. Imperiled waters, im- <br />poverished future: the decline of freshwa- <br />December 1997 781