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<br />26 <br /> <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />been as large as 400,000 cfs) no longer occur. There- <br />fore, for discussion of the rapids, it is convenient to <br />think of the dam discharges during three periods: (a) <br />pre-dam, (b) prior to filling of Lake Powell to opera- <br />tional level (1962-1983), and (c) after filling of the <br />lake (1983 to future). <br /> <br />The velocity and streamline data obtained in this study <br />suggest that boulders on the order of 3 ft diameter can <br />be moved from the main channel at even low discharges <br />(e. g., from considerations of the Hjulstrom criterion <br />for boulder transport and unit stream power of the <br />river, the velocities of 20-25 ftjs measured at 5,000 <br />cfs at House Rock Rapid [Figure 2] are adequate to move <br />3 ft boulders out of the narrowest part of the channel <br />at that location). The competence' of the river, even <br />at relatively low discharges, approaches that of some <br />of the largest floods in the world inferred from paleo- <br />hydraulic reconstruction (e.g., Baker 1984). For the <br />Colorado River, then, we have the opportunity both to <br />use paleohydraulic knowledge to constrain our models <br />where the scale of time and space are both too large <br />for laboratory study, and to contribute to the under- <br />standing of rare geologic events in the past by moni- <br />toring and understanding of this large and powerful <br />river. <br /> <br />At Crystal Rapid, the powerplant discharges from 1966 <br />to 1983 cut only a relatively narrow channel through <br />the debris fan. In its narrowest part, the channel was <br />only about one-quarter the width of the unconstricted <br />channel upstream of the rapid. This single example <br />suggests that, if discharges were held to powerplant <br />releases, the rapids would become severely constricted <br />with time, and that the river channel would be <br />approximately twice as constricted as in pre-dam time. <br /> <br />Discharges larger than powerplant releases will widen <br />the river channel back toward the pre-dam geometry of <br />the channel. The 1983 high water of 92,000 cfs <br />enlarged the constriction at crystal Rapid from a value <br />of approximately 0.25 to approximately 0.40. Extra- <br />polation of the calculations for Crystal Rapid to <br />higher discharges suggests that floods on the order of <br />400,000 cfs have contoured the channel of the Colorado <br />River to its present shape at the older debris fans <br />(Kieffer 1985). Spring releases of 50,000-60,000 cfs <br />and 1983-level releases of 100,000 cfs will widen <br />severely constricted places (e. g., a constriction of <br />0.25 might be enlarged to 0.40 by a release of 92,000 <br />cfs). However, unless releases approach 300,000- <br />400,000 cfs the rapids will eventually become more <br />