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DATA SOURCES AND METHODS <br />Streamflow <br />The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), along with other federal and state agencies, has operated <br />gauging stations in the Colorado River basin since the late 1800s. We have examined streamflow <br />records from many gauging stations on the main-stem of the Colorado River, and other gauges on <br />regulated and unregulated tributaries in western Colorado (Van Steeter, 1996). For the purpose of <br />illustration, this report discusses trends from six gauges that have relatively long records and are <br />relevant to our work. These gauges are: East River at Almont, Yampa River at Maybell, Colorado <br />River at Glenwood Springs, Colorado River near Cameo, Gunnison River near Grand Junction, <br />and Colorado River near the Colorado-Utah State Line. The first two sites are representative of <br />rivers with little flow regulation, while the latter four are representative of rivers with significant <br />flow regulation. Table 1 lists information on these gauges and Figure 1 shows their locations. <br />Table 1. Summary information on gauging stations used to evaluate long-term trends in <br />streamflow of the Colorado River and selected regulated and unregulated tributaries. <br /> USGS Period of Qp Qm Stat. Sign.1 <br />Gauge Number Record <br />-- <br />- <br />= (m3/s) <br />----------------- (m3/s) <br />------------- (p< 0.05) <br />---------------- <br />--------------------------- <br />East River ------------------- <br />09112500 ------- <br />-- <br />------------ <br />1911-1949 79 10 <br />at Almont 1935-1949 66 9 <br /> 1950-1995 64 9 N,N <br />Yampa River 09251000 1916-1949 299 46 <br />at Maybell 1950-1995 282 42 N,N <br />Colorado River 09072500 1899-1949 504 82 <br />at Glenwood Springs 1950-1995 286 61 Y,Y <br />Colorado River 09095500 1934-1949 725 116 <br />near Cameo 1950-1995 517 107 Y,N <br />Gunnison River 09152500 1902-1949 490 73 <br />near Grand Junction 1950-1995 306 71 Y,N <br />1. Statistical significance determined using a T-test; Y indicates the difference in peak discharge (Qp) and mean <br />annual discharge (Qm) for pre- and post-1950 periods is statistically significant at the a = 0.05 level; N indicates the <br />difference is not statistically significant. <br />Discharge records from these gauging stations were partitioned into "unregulated" and "regulated" <br />time periods on the basis of when there were major changes in the amount of water stored in <br />reservoirs. Plots of cumulative reservoir storage capacity vs. time (Fig. 4) show that the greatest <br />increase in storage capacity in the upper Colorado River basin occurred in 1950, when Granby <br />dam was completed; on the Gunnison River, a large increase in storage occurred in 1966, when <br />Blue Mesa Reservoir was completed. Based on these results, we partitioned the discharge records <br />of the Colorado River and Gunnison River at 1950 and 1966, respectively. One additional reason <br />for splitting the records in mid-century, rather than in the 1930s when the first large reservoirs <br />were built, is that, typically, the regulated portion of the streamflow record is longer than the <br />unregulated portion. By splitting the data as such it-increases the number of years indicative of <br />unregulated or slightly regulated conditions, which increases the sample size and strength of our <br />7