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It is unknown whether spawning historically occurred in the Palisade-to-Rifle <br />reaches prior to the construction of the diversion dams. De Beque Canyon, upstream of the <br />most upstream diversion dam, has numerous cobble-bar islands and side channels that may <br />contain suitable sites for Colorado pikeminnow spawning (Anderson 1997). However, <br />duration of temperatures in excess of 18 and 20°C, is short in years of high, extended <br />runoff and timing of such temperatures is delayed compared to more downstream reaches <br />(Osmundson 2000). Until Colorado pikeminnow can be reestablished in this area, and the <br />degree to which they use this reach for spawning can be assessed, its potential as spawning <br />habitat should be assumed. However, the suitability of potential spawning sites in alluvial <br />reaches upstream of De Beque Canyon, also identified by Anderson (1997), is expected to <br />progressively decline with decreasing upstream temperatures (see Osmundson et al. 1998). <br />Reproductive success of Colorado pikeminnow is strongly influenced by the flow <br />regime. Results from larval drift studies in the Colorado River during 1992-1996 indicated <br />that highest larval production (drift densities) occurred in years with moderate (1996) to <br />high (1995) spring flows, and lowest larval production occurred in years with low (1992 <br />and 1994) spring flows (Anderson 1999, Trammell and Chart 1999a). However, high larval <br />production alone does not necessarily result in high numbers of YOY in fall. McAda and <br />Ryel (1999), using 15 years of fall YOY data and USGS flow records (1982-1996), found <br />that antecedent flows were just as important in predicting YOY density in fall as were flows <br />that occurred in the year of reproduction. Highest densities of YOY occurred in years that <br />had high peak flows (>50,000 cfs at the state line USGS gauge) in the previous year and <br />moderately high flows (30,000-40,000 cfs) in the year when the young fish were produced. <br />Although high numbers of larvae are produced in years of very high runoff, such <br />years are also characterized by high flows extending into August, which appear to have a <br />negative effect on YOY numbers in fall. Larvae in such years are produced late and <br />backwaters are fewer in number. McAda and Ryel (1999) suggested that larvae are carried <br />downstream out of the nursery area at such times and are perhaps lost to nonnative fish <br />predation in Lake Powell. However, although exceptionally high water in wet years result <br />in low fall YOY numbers, it is important in setting conditions for successful reproduction in <br />the following year, so long as the following year has moderately high spring flows followed <br />17