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The Upper Main Stem (formerly the Grand Division) is the drainage <br />area of the Colorado River above its junction with the Green River <br />(26,192 mi2).. <br />Annual Discharge <br />Large yearly variations in flow occur in the Colorado River be- <br />cause of annual variations in precipitation and longer-term climatic <br />changes. Man-induced depletions are having an increasing effect on <br />flow variation. The average annual discharge (basin outflow) of the <br />upper basin recorded at Lee's Ferry is 12,500,000 acre-feet for the <br />79-year period, 1896-1975 (Figure 1.2). A maximum of 22,000,000 <br />acre-feet was estimated in water year 1907 and a minimum of 2,414,000 <br />acre-feet was recorded in 1964. Discharge for 1975 was 11,288,300 <br />acre-feet. <br />Of the three hydrologic subregions, the largest volume of water <br />comes from the upper Main Stem (about 50 percent in 1975). The Green <br />River Subregion provides approximately 41 percent, and the San Juan- <br />Colorado Subregion contributes the remainder. <br />The major source of water is runoff from high, snow-laden moun- <br />tains in the upper zone of the main stem. These high mountain areas <br />comprise only about 13 percent of the basin area but produce about 75 <br />percent of the runoff (Upper Colorado Region State-Federal Inter- <br />Agency Group 1971). <br />Depletions <br />Annual discharge represents residual river flow, or the net volume <br />of water remaining in the river after man-induced depletions (con- <br />sumptive use and loss). River flow without these depletions has been <br />computed since 1896 by the Bureau of Reclamation (Figure 1.2). This <br />average annual undepleted (virgin) flow at Lee's Ferry for the 79- <br />year period is estimated at 14,900,000 acre-feet. Depletions have <br />increased from 250,000 acre-feet in 1896 to 1,800,000 acre-feet in <br />1914; 3,450,700 acre-feet in 1965; and 3,823,900 acre-feet in 1975. <br />Water depletion can best be summarized by use of a water budget <br />9