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<br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />1 <br />~J <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />Visual pattern detection <br />Visual pattern detection involves primarily the use of maps and symbology that carefully <br />represents point locations and values. By using, for example, symbols whose size are related to <br />the fish density at a particular location, we can detect whether or not there are clusters of <br />locations that have high values for a particular species. Sometimes the visual patterns observed <br />can lead directly to spatial anomalies that are very useful in identifying problem locations, or <br />developing further testable hypotheses (Nibbelink and Rahel, in review). Furthermore, by <br />combining point pattern maps of riverine densities with those offish stocking densities or <br />floodplain pond fish densities, we can potentially see whether high densities from particular <br />sources maybe related to high densities of nonnative fishes in critical habitat. This approach <br />looked for clusters that might indicate potential sources of nonnative fishes to backwaters within <br />the ISA. Furthermore, we looked at whether treated ponds related to lower densities of <br />nonnative fishes in backwaters. The analyses conducted were as follows: <br />1. Comparison of stocking (all known stocking events) densities vs. backwater fish densities. <br />2. Comparison of treated ponds to backwater fish densities. <br />3. Comparison of nonnative fish densities in ponds vs. backwaters. <br />4. Nonnative fish densities in backwaters, pre- and post-regulation periods. <br />It was not possible to simply pool and compare all of the fish data from backwater <br />sampling due to different sampling protocols (Table 1), so we had to choose carefully when <br />using data to reflect species composition and density in the ISA. Most of these data were <br />collected using river miles or kilometers as indications of location. Therefore, data for species <br />and number were linked in the GIS to the nearest 0.1-river mile designation. To get a robust <br />picture of the density of species in the riverine backwaters, we used only the data sets from <br />Bundy and Bestgen (2001) and Trammel et al. (2002) as their methodologies were the most <br />thorough and similar. To further facilitate comparisons among these data sets, only the first-pass <br />removals were utilized due to the different levels of effort expended by each project. <br />We mapped nonnative fish densities for each of these sampling programs to visualize <br />hotspots for nonnative species in critical habitat, and to describe the relative densities of each for <br />select species of interest. Three nonnative species were of particular interest in backwaters, due <br />to their prevalence. These included largemouth bass and fathead minnow, which can be stocked <br />under the new regulations, and one species that is not stocked, green sunfish. The inclusion of <br />green sunfish was due to several factors: 1) these fish are ubiquitous and appear to be self- <br />sustaining in a variety of stream sizes and habitats, and 2) there has been recent interest in the <br />concept of concentration areas for centrarchids, referred to as "hot spots", within the Grand <br />Valley reach of the Colorado River (Kesler 2002), and 3) there is some evidence that green <br />sunfish share the top trophic position in backwater food webs in the Grand Valley along with <br />largemouth bass and black crappie (Martinez et al. 2001). <br />Proximity analyses <br />We next looked more formally at whether high densities of nonnative fishes in <br />backwaters were closer than expected to stocking locations or high densities in ponds ("high" <br /> <br />