Laserfiche WebLink
<br />l <br /> <br />and services, foreign borrowing (investment), and employment payments from outside. The <br />Armington and CET functions described earlier account for the external linkages that take place <br />through the goods and services markets. <br /> <br />To evaluate the national economic consequences of critical habitat designation the analysis must <br />be conducted in such a manner that the following assumptions are violated to a minimum degree. <br />First, to use market prices to value the resources displaced by the impact requires that the market <br />for the good in question be free of distortions so that the prices truly reflect the opportunity costs <br />of the resources used to produce it. Second, all other markets in the economy must be operating <br />completely free of distortions. That is, the price paid by consumers must be identical to the cost <br />of producing the good in all markets.22 Third, the entire national impact must be identical with <br />the regional level impact. <br /> <br />The analyst must still make judgements concerning the extent to which regional impacts are, in <br />fact, national impacts or whether they are pure transfers of resources from elsewhere in the <br />country. This is particularly important in the case of direct impacts relating to large scale <br />investment in new facilities. If the construction and capital equipment sectors are operating at <br />capacity, then the newly installed thermal capacity within the Colorado River Basin region will <br />displace capacity expansion activities elsewhere in the U. S. economy. If the value of the <br />displaced activities is very close to the value of the thermal generation plants and since these <br />changes occur at the margin, the net national impact of the thermal capacity addition would have <br />a zero value. On the other hand, if there is sufficient excess capacity in the construction and <br />capital equipment sectors then the investment in expansion of the thermal capacity is a pure <br />addition to the national economy. 23 <br /> <br />22 An alternative to this assumption is that the economic consequences of the listing and proposed critical <br />habitat designation are confmed to the markets in which the direct impacts occur. That is, there are no indirect <br />effects that are felt in related markets. <br /> <br />23 The hydropower capacity that is lost due to the changes in the hydrographs in the with fish scenario is a <br />sunk cost. The owners of the resources in this sector will experience a loss but not the national economy. <br /> <br />35 <br />