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7.2 Climate Chan e Literature Review and Methods Evaluation -Perform literature review <br />regarding Climate Change. Perform a literature review and evaluation of alternative <br />means of developing alternative hydrology and prepare a technical memorandum <br />documenting the results of the literature review. This literature review will address as a <br />primary, but not exclusive focus, the available science related to the regional response to <br />climate change, methods of translating climate projections into hydrologic conditions, <br />and understanding and quantifying the uncertainty in those projections. <br />7.3 Forest Change Literature Review and Suggested Methods - Conduct a literature review <br />and consult with appropriate agency and university researchers. Prepare a technical <br />memorandum describing the results of this literature review and consultation. Review <br />methods and recommend an approach for addressing forest change to the CWCB. Meet <br />with CWCB management team to discuss the recommendation. Based on comments <br />from CWCB prepare a final recommendation for an approach to addressing forest <br />change. The cost estimate assumes that only one review cycle will be required and that <br />the modifications will not involve the substantial elements of the method. <br />7.4 Forest Change Assessment - Based on the results of Subtask 7.3, prepare an evaluation <br />of forest change using a sensitivity analyses of streamflow increases/reductions applied to <br />the extended hydrology developed in Task 6. For budgeting and scoping purposes, it is <br />assumed that the approach selected in Task 7.3 will be as follows: The analysis of the <br />impact of forest change will involve a conceptual assessment of occurrence that includes <br />initiation of change {e.g. spread of insects or instance of fire), intensity of change (area of <br />infestation or fire} and time history of recovery. The assessment will be based on <br />published literature and information obtained from meetings conducted in Task 7.3. The <br />assessment will be used to modify the baseline hydrology model land surface parameters <br />to represent the impact of forest change at the time horizon(s) selected for the work. The <br />hydrology impacts will.be estimated using published values. Three scenarios will be <br />modeled, leading to three hydrologic modeling scenarios to develop as-if ~ hydrology for <br />forest change, relative to baseline {current) conditions. These as-if conditions will <br />represent forest changes as though they had been fully developed at the start of the <br />historical period {and did not recover over the duration of the historical period). The as-if <br />hydrology will be extended to reflect palea conditions using the paleo sequences <br />developed in Sub-task 6.5. <br />7.5 Climate Chan e A roach - Determine method far generating alternate hydrology for <br />climate change for key baseflaw stations in the Study area. Based on work in sub-tasks <br />7.1 and 7.2 develop a recommendation for a detailed technical approach for generating <br />alternate hydrology for climate change. The selected method should be consistent with <br />peer-reviewed methods, with modifications necessary to meet the requirements and <br />considerations of this work. Submit the recommendation to CWCB far review and meet <br />with CWCB staff to discuss the recommendation. Based on comments from CWCB <br />prepare a final recommendation for an approach to generating alternate hydrology for <br />climate change. The cost estimate assumes that only one review cycle will be required <br />and that the modifications will oat involve the substantial elements of the method. Our <br />cost estimate for work described below assumes that an approach similar to that <br />Colorado River Water Availability Study Scope 2U 8/2s/2008 <br />CRWAS Phasel Contract Scope EX A Final <br />