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CRDSS_Task1-5_VariableEfficiencyEvaluation_Compare
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Last modified
9/26/2011 8:31:55 AM
Creation date
7/10/2008 2:15:40 PM
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Decision Support Systems
Title
CRDSS Task 1.5 - Variable Efficiency Evaluation - Compare StateMod Variable Efficiency and Soil Moisture Accounting Historic Model Results to Previous CRDSS Model Results and Historic Measurements
Description
The purpose of this task was to run the monthly Historic Yampa River Basin model with the irrigation requirement file (*.ddc) created in Task 1.2 and the baseflows developed in Task 1.3.
Decision Support - Doc Type
Task Memorandum
Date
11/5/2001
DSS Category
Surface Water
DSS
Colorado River
Basin
Colorado Mainstem
Contract/PO #
C153933, C154062
Grant Type
Non-Reimbursable
Bill Number
SB92-87, HB93-1273, SB94-029, HB95-1155, SB96-153, HB97-008
Prepared By
Leonard Rice Engineering
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Results <br />The results of the analysis are presented under the following sections: <br />• 1976-1996 Average Stream~a~e Comparison <br />• Dry-Year Stream~a~e Comparison <br />• Wet-Year Stream~a~e Comparison <br />• 1976-1996 Average Diversion Comparison <br />• A~~re~ate Diversion Comparison <br />• Reservoir Comparison <br />• 1976-1996 Crop Consumptive Use Comparison <br />• Dry-Year Crop Consumptive Use Comparison <br />• Wet-Year Crop Consumptive Use Comparison <br />1976-1996 Average Streamga~e Comparison <br />For both the Previous CRDSS results and the Enhanced results, the streamgage calibration is <br />considered very good. The "goodness of fit" coefficient, r~, is greater than 0.95 for all <br />streamgages, and equal to 1.00 (exact fit) for most gages for both the Previous CRDSS and the <br />Enhanced analysis. Figure 2 is a representative time-series plot of the Yampa River at <br />Steamboat Gage (ID=09239500), showing that simulated streamflows match well on both an <br />annual and monthly basis. Figure 3 shows a representative scatter plot of historic measured <br />versus Previous CRDSS and Enhanced analysis results. As shown, and reinforced in Table 1, <br />the Enhanced analysis predicts streamflows that are representative of historic conditions. <br />Table 1 <br />Streamgage Calibration Results -Historic Model <br /> Previous CRDSS Results Enhanced Results <br />streamgage % Difference RZ % Difference RZ <br />09237500 -Yampa River bl Stagecoach Res -1 % 0.97 6 % 0.95 <br />09239500 -Yampa River at Steamboat Springs 0 % 1.00 1 % 1.00 <br />09241000 -Elk River at Clark 0 % 1.00 0 % 1.00 <br />09247600 -Yampa River below Craig -1 % 1.00 3 % 1.00 <br />09249750 -Williams Fork at Mouth 0 % 1.00 0 % 1.00 <br />09251000 -Yampa River near Maybell 0 % 1.00 2 % 1.00 <br />09260000 -Little Snake River at Lily 0 % 1.00 8 % 1.00 <br />Difference = (measured -predicted)/measured <br />VariableEff Taskl-5 3 of 17 November 5, 2001 <br />
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