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7/28/2009 2:41:00 PM
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4/24/2008 2:56:50 PM
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Weather Modification
Title
Snowpack, Cloud Seeding and the Colorado River
Date
1/1/1974
Weather Modification - Doc Type
Report
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<br />FOREWORD <br /> <br />dation has recognized that independence of thought is an essen- <br />tial component of policy oriented research, and for this reason <br />has given the contractor complete freedom in determining the <br />substantive content of the report. <br />As the project drew to a close, interested ICAS agencies <br />were given the opportunity to review the initial draft. Their <br />comments were supplied to the contractor as a feedback mech- <br />anism. Reviews made it clear to both the investigating team and <br />the reviewers that inadequate attention had been paid to some <br />aspects of the economic analysis. Consequently, a supple- <br />mentary award was made in late 1971 to permit the rounding <br />out and completion of the study. A final draft of that report was <br />received in July, 1972. One of the consequences of review of <br />that report was the judgment that the work was of sufficient sig- <br />nificance that a more popular or lay version of the document <br />should be prepared that would carry the central elements of the <br />study in a more readable form to a wider range of public interest <br />groups, concerned citizens, legislators, government officials and <br />others who might find the technical document beyond their need <br />or understanding. <br />The preparation of that popular or lay version proved to be <br />a more demanding task than either the contractor or the spon- <br />soring agency realized. Four versions of that were prepared over <br />a period of more than one year. The difficulty was in striking <br />a balance between lucidity and brevity on the one hand and <br />accuracy and completeness on the other. A final acceptable <br />version was put forward in August, 1973. Each of these lay <br />versions and the main report were reviewed by people not only <br />with technical competence in the area, but with the editorial <br />skill and perspective to evaluate its appropriateness for a more <br />general audience. <br />The delay in putting forward the complete technical report <br />while awaiting the lay document was not a total loss of time, <br />since the study team was available for and did conduct numer- <br />ous briefings on the subject for professional, scientific and fed- <br />eral government organizations. <br /> <br />ix <br /> <br />SNOWPACK, CLOUD-SEEDING, AND THE COLORADO RIVER <br /> <br />assessment is likely to be bad news to someone. Consequently, <br />that bad news as well as the good and indifferent news with re- <br />gard to management of a particular technology must be brought <br />forward in a way to inform the interested parties and illuminate <br />the issues. In brief, quality control in the technology assessment <br />must strike a balance between comprehensiveness, incisiveness, <br />timelines, completeness, independence, and focus. <br />The history of this particular project may interest both <br />general readers and other organizations interested in sponsoring <br />such assessments, and will assist them in understanding how <br />these goals were approached. <br />The study reported in this volume was initiated in J an- <br />uary, 1971, in response to a request of July 15, 1970, from the <br />Interdepartmental Committee for Atmospheric Sciences of the <br />Federal Council for Science and Technology. They wished to <br />explore the feasibility of applying technology assessment con- <br />cepts to planned weather modification projects. The Bureau of <br />Reclamation's proposal to augment the flow of the Colorado <br />River by cloud seeding operations in the Upper Colorado River <br />Basin was suggested by ICAS for the first technology assessment <br />study, since a pilot experiment was already in progress in the <br />San Juan Mountain Range and there was a need to provide the <br />Secretary of the Interior and others with the necessary informa- <br />tion to make the implementation decision. The National Science <br />Foundation was requested to sponsor the study because it was <br />already committed to the role of technology assessment under <br />the RANN program and had no operational role to play with <br />regard to the proposed project. <br />The selection of the Stanford Research Institute to con- <br />duct this technology assessment was made with the assistance of <br />an ICAS committee based upon competitive proposals sub- <br />mitted by eleven different organizations. The request for pro- <br />posals (RFP-71-101) was issued on August 4, 1970. A pre- <br />proposal conference was held on August 18, 1970. Proposals <br />were received by September 9, 1970. The contract was funded <br />and monitored by the National Science Foundation. The Foun- <br /> <br />viii <br /> <br />I~ <br />l~ <br />.~~td <br /> <br /> <br />I <br /> <br /> <br />81 <br />
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