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<br />computerized search of the scientific literature revealed that the large majority of articles dealing with <br />, snow density" are concerned with relatively long time scales such as days, weeks, or even months. For <br />xample, both hydrologic and avalanche forecasting are concerned with long-term snow density changes. <br />nly a limited number of references were found that addressed density of freshly-fallen snow, and these <br />r ferences generally used daily observations. For the purpose of the SAA, we are concemedwith snow <br />ensity on time scales from 1 hour to the duration of a single storm, usually no more than a day or two. <br /> <br /> <br />e most practical approach for real-time SAA estimation of SD appears to be to divide the radar's hourly <br />WE estimate for any range bin by the median density for that locale. We recommended this approach <br />r last winter's real-time tests in Cleveland and Minneapolis. <br /> <br />he SAA provides SWE estimates for 1-h, 3-h, and storm total periods, all updated each volume scan. <br />is approach is appropriate for SWE, which, after reaching the ground, does not change significantly <br />vel' a storm's duration unless snow melt occurs. It will be shown that snow density changes over <br />f latively short time periods. The density of falling snow is affected by changes in cloud microphysics, <br />hich typically produce varying ice crystal types and sizes and varying degrees of riming and aggregation <br />ver the course of a storm. <br /> <br />now density can change after the snow reaches the ground because of compaction over time caused by <br />number of factors. Snow compaction is apparently primarily related to temperature and vapor variations <br />nd wind effects as discussed by Grant and Rhea (1974). They cite evidence from LaChapelle (1962) <br />i dicating the weight of the snow itself has a major influence on compaction. However, LaChapelle <br />r ported a 28-inch mountain snowfall with a resulting low density of 0.05 g cm-3, indicating surprising <br />s ctural strength. So the crystal structure of the snow partially controls its rate of settling (compaction) <br />fter it reaches the surface. However, attempting to predict snow density changes with time after the <br />snow falls is beyond the scope of the SAA development. Furthermore, the SAA does not have the <br />omplexity to attempt to deal with snow melt on the surface. <br /> <br />now density will vary markedly in time and space, and the degree of windiness will certainly affect not <br />nly snow density but SD and SWE directly as snow is scoured and drifted. The attempt here will be to <br />stimate the depth of snow fallen over the past hour to past day in locations protected from the wind. The <br />AA cannot be expected to accurately predict SWE, much less SD, in locations with significant snow <br />r distribution caused by the wind. Such changes are caused by small and medium scale variations in <br />t pography, plant cover including forests, man-made structures, and other factors. These factors are the <br />ame ones that make accurate and representative snowfall measurement so difficult. <br /> <br />ven if the SAA accurately estimated hourly SD in a protected location, it should be recognized that <br />ompaction could occur over the course of an entire storm period. Moreover, the rate of compaction may <br />e quite variable among a population of storms. Therefore, even accurate hourly SD predictions could <br />suIt in an unknown degree of SD overprediction over a storm's duration. <br /> <br /> <br />.2 A verage Values for Snow Density <br /> <br />he "ten to one rule" is often cited, meaning that, on average, the SD is ten times the SWE (i.e., snow <br />ensity is 0.1). Potter (1965) notes that this rule has long been used as it is described in an 1878 <br />'Instructions to Observers" in Canada. Potter states that its use in Canada was based on a long series of <br />xperiments in Toronto. However, Potter compared its use with 1963-64 measurements of both SWE <br />d SD across Canada. He shows a map of Canada with the ratio of measured SWE (presumably daily) <br />t that estimated from the "ten to one rule." Most of Canada had ratios smaller than 0.9, corresponding <br /> <br />20 <br />