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Last modified
7/28/2009 2:40:53 PM
Creation date
4/24/2008 2:55:57 PM
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Weather Modification
Title
Snow Accumulation Algorithm for the WSR-80D Radar: Second Annual Report
Date
6/1/1997
Weather Modification - Doc Type
Report
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<br />0.6 dBZ greater reflectivities than Albany for a given snowfall rate. This small difference is well within <br />the range of calibration error, especially because no special calibration of the Albany radar was made <br />during the 1995-96 winter. Consequently, the level II data (recorded at 0.5-dBZ resolution) for Albany <br />were not adjusted in post-season analysis as were the Cleveland and Denver data sets. <br /> <br />The fact that all three regions have the same optimized exponent of 2.0 is in agreement with a recent <br />theoretical prediction and earlier radar experiments with snow, as has been discussed. Similar fJ values <br />are anticipated to result from the additional regions for which data were collected during the 1996-97 <br />winter as described in section 11. A single fJ value for all climatic snowfall zones in the nation would <br />have obvious practical advantages. Smith and Joss (1997) point out that the fJvalue has limited impact <br />on rainfall accumulations calculated from reflectivity measurements. It appears likely that the situation <br />is similar for calculated snowfall accumulations. <br /> <br />5.3 SAA Coefficient Recommendations for Minneapolis <br /> <br />Real-time SAA testing was scheduled for the Minneapolis area for the 1996-97 winter, prior to collection <br />of hourly snowfall observations in that region. It was assumed that the average of the Cleveland and <br />Denver Ze-S relationships would provide a good "first approximation. Minneapolis is about an equal <br />distance from the other two areas. Accordingly, the recommended a and fJ values for Minneapolis real- <br />time testing were 240 and 2.0, respectively. Some adjustment of these values is likely once analysis is <br />complete of Minneapolis data collected last winter. <br /> <br />6. SNOW DEPTH PREDICTION <br /> <br />6.1 Introduction <br /> <br />Radar echo power returned by snow particles is related to S by equation (1), and SWE accumulation can <br />be calculated by integrating S over any desired time period (e.g., 1 h, storm period). But SD estimation <br />is also important for many purposes such as decisions regarding snow plowing, traffic management, <br />school closures, etc. Estimates of SD can be made from radar Ze observations if snow density is known <br />because snow density is numerically equal to SWE/SD when both are measured in the same units. But <br />real-time observations of snow density are scarce, and radar does not provide such measurements. The <br />main purposes of this section are to review what is known about the density of freshly-fallen snow, and <br />to recommend procedures for estimating it in an operational forecast setting, specifically the Cleveland <br />and Minneapolis areas where real-time SAA testing was accomplished during the 1996-97 winter. <br /> <br />The simplest approach would be to use average snow density values and to divide SWE estimated by <br />equation (1) by average density in order to estimate SD. But it will be seen that snow density for a given <br />hour will often differ from the average by a factor of 2, sometimes by a factor of 3, and occasionally even <br />more. So a means of predicting snow density for the next 1 to few hours would be desirable for improved <br />SD estimation by radar. The practicality of such short-term prediction will be considered. <br /> <br />Ideally, one would be able to accurately predict the density by the beginning of any given hour with <br />snowfall so that real-time calculations of SD could be made. However, we have been unable to discover <br />any satisfactory prediction scheme. This section discusses snow density observations and our attempts <br />to relate them to surface air temperature and to the past hour's snow density. Statistically significant but <br />weak relations were found which provided too little predictive power to have practical application. <br /> <br />19 <br />
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