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<br />APRIL 1990 <br /> <br />DESHLER, REYNOLDS AND HUGGINS <br /> <br />313 <br /> <br />seedline, providing a distinct radar seeding signature <br />after 30 min. <br />(vi) Observations from KGV indicated that: 1) <br />seeding effects occurred approximately 55 min after <br />treatment in agreement with the OTM prediction; 2) <br />for S2 the Ka radar showed a fall streak with its origin <br />at the seeding altitude; 3) the snow crystals within <br />seeded plumes were 0.5 to 1.0 mm rimed columns or <br />graupel and were consistent from line to line and with <br />theoretical calculations; 4) precipitation rates measured <br />at KGV indicated increases between 0.5 to 1.5 mm <br />h -I during the PPE for S2 and S3, respectively. For S2 <br />the increased precipitation is a measure of seeding ef- <br />fects because of its isolated nature. For S3 the results <br />are confused by the natural precipitation trailing S3. <br />These precipitation rates are ten times greater than <br />might have been expected from the radar measure- <br />. ments. <br /> <br />This case study represents the most complete picture <br />of the chain of physical events initiated by seeding that <br />the SCPP was able to document. Seeding effects mea- <br />sured by the aircraft are quite definite. Although less <br />certainty can be ascribed to the radar and surface mea- <br />surements they provide an internally consistent picture <br />that supports the aircraft observations and agrees with <br />expected results and model calculations. It appears that <br />the OTM was successful in selecting a treatment lo- <br />cation for the fixed target. <br /> <br />I' <br /> <br />b. 5 February 1986 <br /> <br />1) CLOUD STRUCTURE AND ORGANIZATION <br /> <br />In the morning of this day a minor short wave was <br />moving down the back side of a ridge building off the <br />West Coast. At 1200 the 500 mb short-wave trough <br />was analyzed from a low over Vancouver Island south- <br />ward to northern California. The 850 mb trough ex- <br />tended from northern Idaho to southeastern Oregon. <br />The satellite image showed the system to be over eastern <br />Washington and Oregon, and moving southward along <br />the east side of the Sierra Nevada. By 1800 the surface <br />low was in Idaho with frontal clouds trailing through <br />northern Nevada into northeastern California. A jet <br />maximum driving the short wave southeastward in- <br />duced a surface low pressure center in central Nevada. <br />This, coupled with the surface high pressure off the <br />coast, provided the flow necessary to produce shallow, <br />lightly precipitating orographic clouds over the central <br />Sierra Nevada. Substantial orographic clouds were ev- <br />ident by 2100, becoming more convective by 2200. <br />The surface front had passed through the project area <br />by 2100 and was dissipating by 2400. At 2400 the 500 <br />mb low was over southeast Oregon with troughing into <br />central California and strong northwesterly flow mov- <br />ing into northern California. Clouds lingered over the <br />barrier through about 0700 on the 6th. <br />Project soundings began at 1800 and terminated at <br /> <br />2400. There was shallow moisture reaching to 1.8 km <br />at SHR and 3.0 km at KGV. The winds had compo- <br />nents normal to the barrier (2500) of 5-10 m s -1 in <br />the lowest 2-3 km layer, providing lift for the low-level <br />moisture. Potential instability was also present inducing <br />further cloud development. The air above cloud re- <br />mained dry so that embedded convective elements <br />eroded quickly. The mixing occurring at cloud top was <br />evident from reports of strong turbulence by both pro- <br />ject aircraft. Light precipitation over the barrier began <br />around 1900 and continued through 0500 on the 6th <br />with a total accumulation at Blue Canyon ofless than <br />1.Omm. <br />The cloud physics aircraft made its ascent sounding <br />and MOCA descent along the barrier at 2100. The JW <br />sensor was the only liquid water probe available on the <br />aircraft this day. Measurements in a wind tunnel in- <br />dicate that at values < 0.5 g m -3 the JW underestimates <br />liquid water content by 15 to 30 percent. This system- <br />atic error is accounted for in the data analysis (Sand <br />et al. 1984). Sampling errors for the JW are judged to <br />be < 10 percent for droplets < 40 J-Lm. Measurements <br />from the aircraft instruments indicated that the cloud <br />contained liquid water of 0.1 g m -3 and average ICC <br />of 10-20 L -I with> 100 L -1 observed in a few 1 km <br />wide regions. The ice crystals were between -70C and <br />cloud top at -1O~e. Based on the 2D-C images they <br />consisted of small graupel, needles, and columns, with <br />a few aggregates. Below -70C on the MOCA descent <br />ice disappeared and liquid water increased to 0.2 to <br />0.3 g m -3. Streakers were observed on the 2D-P and <br />water drops 200 to 400 J-Lm were imaged by the 2D-e. <br />Evidently these drops grew by coalescence. At this time <br />the 5-cm radar at SHR was measuring 5 to 10 dBZ <br />echoes below the aircraft altitude, indicating that echoes <br />were forming at temperatures close to -50e. A Hallett- <br />Mossop ice multiplication mechanism initiating nee- <br />dles which then aggregated would explain the rather <br />warm temperature for echo formation. Aggregates of <br />needles were observed at KGV later. Also, since these <br />echoes were small they could have formed at higher <br />altitudes and yet be unobservable due to beam filling <br />problems. From the aircraft descent, the 5-cm radar, <br />and soundings at SHR and KGV, a cross section of <br />the cloud was constructed showing temperature struc- <br />ture, reflectivity, and regions of ice and water (Fig. <br />17). The radiometer at KGV was measuring a fairly <br />steady 0.1 mm of liquid, equivalent to a liquid water <br />content of 0.08 g m -3 for a cloud depth of 1.2 km. <br />Based on liquid water measurements from the ra- <br />diometer a deliberate seed experiment was conducted. <br />A seed point to target KGV was calculated using the <br />OTM and the 1800 soundings from SHR and KGV <br />as input. Seeding was conducted at 3 km approximately <br />20 km upwind of KGV. After the sixth seedline the <br />center of the seedline was moved south 5 km based on <br />winds measured by the cloud physics aircraft and on <br />estimated radar-echo motions. The seeder aircraft <br />