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<br />,.4 <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />The Nested Modeling Approach - Current Climate Simulations <br /> <br />In phase 1, the nested modeling approach uses a regional model to provide the <br />regional-scale forcing that largely controls the evolution of local-scale clouds and <br />precipitation that is simulated by a local-scale model. The regional model is the <br />MM4 (pennsylvania State University/NCAR Mesoscale Model Version 4). The <br />standard MM4 model is described in Anthes et al. (1987); however, in this study we <br />use results from an augmented version for regional climate studies described by <br />Giorgi and Bates (1989). This version of the MM4 model includes a sophisticated <br />surface physics/soil hydrology package. The compressible, hydrostatic model solves <br />the equations of motion written in terrain-varying sigma vertical coordinates. <br /> <br />This study focuses on the Gunnison Basin in western Colorado marked by the <br />bold square in Figure 1a nested within the domain analyzed by MM4. The MM4 <br />model provides the large-scale (synoptic) and regional-scale (mesoscale) forcing as <br />shown by the summer monsoon flow over the West in Figure 1a and corresponding <br />24-h precipitation in Figure lb. Local-scale model simulations are examining the <br />detailed evolution of clouds and precipitation within the 440- by 440-:-km domain <br />(dx= 10 km) marked by the bold square in Figure 1a. Within this area, the dashed <br />square defines the nested 5-km resolution, 260- by 260-kin domain. Small dots show <br />each MM4 grid point and large dots indicate the CCM (Community Climate Model) <br />R-15 (rhomboidal spherical harmonic truncation at wave number 15) 500-km <br />resolution grid points. The CCM has been used widely by modelers. to examine the <br />effects of doubled CO2 on global climate (Washington and Meehl, 1984). Clearly, <br />nested regional and local-scale models are required to examine precipitation processes <br />at the watershed level. <br /> <br />Reclamation is using two models to simulate local orographic precipitation: Rhea <br />and Clark models. Medina (1992) has adapted the steady-state Rhea model (Rhea, <br />1977) to simulate local precipitation over the Gunnison River Basin in Colorado, and <br />has adapted the model to use initial conditions from soundings derived from MM4. <br />This approach approximates a one-way, local-scale nesting. Comparisons between <br />Rhea model simulations from rawinsondes and MM4-derived soundings are <br />encouraging; however, convective precipitation is not accurately simulated in either <br />the MM4 or Rhea models. <br /> <br />Therefore, we are also using the more sophisticated, three-dimensional, time- <br />dependent, local-scale Clark model to simulate the local evolution of convective <br />clouds and precipitation over complex terrain in the central Colorado Rockies. The <br />Clark model is used extensively throughout the research community to simulate <br />phenomena ranging from airflow over complex terrain to deep convection (Clark, <br />1979). The model is ail anelastic, finite difference model with one- and two-way <br />interactive nesting described by Clark (1977), and Clark and Hall (1991). The Clark <br />model will be used to understand the complex three-dimensional airflow and <br />evolution of clouds and precipitation in a limited sample of cases. It will contribute <br />to better parameterizations of airflow structure for the Rhea model, which may be run <br /> <br />3 <br /> <br />Matthews et al. <br />