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<br />OCTOBER 1988 <br /> <br />ARLIN B. SUPER AND BRUCE A. BOE <br /> <br />1181 <br /> <br />Experiments 5 and 6 on 19 Mar probably did not <br />produce precipitation at the Snow Lab, but continuous <br />cloud deck did not extend as far upwind as on 18 Mar. <br />Further, the mesa top near the Snow Lab was visible <br />from the aircraft on some 19 Mar passes but was not <br />seen on 18 Mar. The more broken cloud deck with <br />somewhat higher bases on 19 Mar apparently provided <br />less in-cloud time for ice crystal growth. This may have <br />been a limiting factor in producing snowfall at the sur- <br />face. The drying with time of the atmosphere over the <br />mesa below 60 kPa can be seen by contrasting Figs. 2a <br />and 2c. <br />While on some passes SL W appeared to be inversely <br />correlated with the enhanced IPC resulting from AgI <br />seeding, the natural temporal and spatial variability of <br />SL W over the mesa masked any obvious drying of the <br />cloud due to seeding in most cases. Liquid water in the <br />seeded 5 km zone immediately upwind of the Snow <br />Lab never exceeded that found in the analogous non- <br />seeded zone and overall was about one-third less than <br />the mean in the nonseeded zone (Table 2). This sug- <br />gests that the AgI seeding reduced, but did not elimi- <br />nate, the SL W content of the orographic clouds. <br /> <br />5. Conclusions <br /> <br />." <br /> <br />Eight physical cloud seeding experiments were con- <br />ducted in northerly flow and shallow orographic cloud <br />over the Grand Mesa of Colorado on 18-20 Mar 1986. <br />Two experiments employed ground-released Agl <br />smoke, while the six others used airborne AgI seeding, <br />also with an acetone generator. Natural snowfall was <br />very limited during the experimental periods. <br />In all eight experiments, the AgI was consistently <br />detected in cloud by the airborne acoustical ice nucleus <br />counter at the 3.8 km sampling altitude. For the ground <br />seeding experiments this required vertical transport of <br />the AgI of at least 1100 m, which confirms the feasibility <br />of targeting some orographic clouds with either air- <br />borne or properly sited ground-based generators. <br />In all eight experiments, marked enhancements in <br />the observed ice particle concentrations were detected <br />coincident with the AgI plumes. Thus, the efficacy of <br />AgI as a nucleating agent was verified in natural clouds <br />at the temperatures observed (-8.5 to -140C). Large <br />numbers of ice crystals smaller than 0.6 mm, either <br />hexagonal plates (at -9 to -12oC) or minute dendrites <br />(at -13 to -14 OC), were recorded within seeded zones <br />at aircraft sampling altitudes in all eight experiments. <br />A fraction of the seeded crystals grew to larger sizes, <br />and the sizes and habits of the these crystals were con- <br />sistent with the prevailing temperature regimes and es- <br />timated growth times. Precipitation rates estimated <br />from aircraft 2D-C probe images recorded in the seeded <br />zones exceeded those estimated for the nonseeded <br />zones in seven of the eight experiments. <br />Significant precipitation coincident with the passage <br />of the seeded zone aloft in the first three (of six) air- <br /> <br />borne experiments was recorded at the Snow Lab, while <br />virtually no precipitation was recorded at other times <br />during that experimental period. Probable reasons for <br />the lack of precipitation at the surface in the final three <br />airborne experiments, as previously discussed, relate <br />to the insufficient residence time of the AgI and re- <br />sulting crystals in SL W cloud. <br />Yery light snow reached the mesa from the thin <br />seeded clouds in one ground-based experiment, while <br />no other clouds precipitated, No ground level obser- <br />vations were practical during the other ground-based <br />seeding experiment, but it appeared probable that sur- <br />face snowfall was increased. <br />All eight physical seeding experiments produced <br />marked microphysical changes due to AgI seeding in <br />shallow orographic cloud. The resulting IPC enhance- <br />ments in turn produced an increase in estimated pre- <br />cipitation rates at the aircraft sampling level about 500 <br />m above the Grand Mesa in all but one case. Finally, <br />light but significant precipitation was produced at <br />ground level by at least half of the experiments. <br />While the physical chain of events from seeding to <br />surface snowfall has often been hypothesized, it has <br />seldom been demonstrated. The ground-based seeding <br />experiments provide direct physical evidence that re- <br />leasing AgI well up the windward slope of a mountain <br />barrier can alter cloud microphysics in a direction that <br />should lead to increased snowfall. Taken together with <br />the results shown in Part II (Super and Heimbach <br />1988) and in Holroyd et al. (1988) there is reason to <br />be optimistic concerning the potential of seeding some <br />winter orographic clouds with high-altitude ground- <br />based generators. <br />The airborne experiments demonstrated that aerial <br />seeding can also result in increased snowfall at the sur- <br />face under some conditions. Further research of this <br />type will be required to better define those conditions <br />that are suitable for seeding. <br />The approach used in these experiments is believed <br />to have considerable value for future work. Simple <br />orographic clouds are excellent candidates for testing <br />various seeding methods, rates and agents. <br /> <br />Acknowledgments. The authors are pleased to ac- <br />knowledge the significant contributions to this paper <br />made by several persons. Jack McPartland of the Bu- <br />reau of Reclamation (Bureau) was the aircraft scientist <br />on some of the missions, while the second author flew <br />on the others. Michael Collins of the Bureau main- <br />tained the aircraft, and surface sensors and electronics <br />systems. David Davalos of Aero Systems, Inc., skillfully <br />piloted the aircraft. Marty Thorp and William Hauze <br />of North American Weather Consultants (NA WC) <br />operated the ground-based seeding generator and <br />manned the Snow Lab. John Thompson, also of <br />NA we, operated the airborne seeding generator and <br />aircraft data acquisition system. Much of the analysis <br />softwarle was developed by Ed Holroyd of the Bureau. <br />