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7/28/2009 2:40:11 PM
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Weather Modification
Title
Microphysical Effects of Wintertime Cloud Seeding with Silver Iodide Over the Rocky Mountains - Part III
Date
10/10/1988
Weather Modification - Doc Type
Report
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<br />1180 <br /> <br />JOURNAL OF APPLIED METEOROLOGY <br /> <br />suIted from the seeding was indistinguishable from the <br />natural shower. However, in view of the aircraft ob- <br />servations, it seems unlikely that seeding had much <br />effect on surface snowfall. <br /> <br />g. Summary of airborne seeding experiments <br /> <br />Results of the six airborne seeding experiments, <br />along with various supporting information, are sum- <br />marized in Table 2. The mean nonseeded IPCs in the <br />5 km zone upwind of the Snow Lab were ~2.6 L -1 in <br />all cases, with a mean value of 1.5 L -1 for all six ex- <br />periments. Mean seeded IPCs ranged from 2.5 to 21.5 <br />L -Ion the two days, with an overall mean near 9 L -1. <br />The majority of the IPC increases appeared as small <br />crystals classified as hexagonal and spherical by the <br />processing software, the latter most likely tiny stellar <br />or hexagonal crystals. Most crystals classified as hex- <br />agonal were also small, and most probably of the PIa, <br />PI b, and PIc habits (see Magono and Lee 1966). The <br />majority of crystals in the seeded cloud volumes that <br />were classified as irregular were fragments of dendrites <br />or rimed hexagonal crystals. <br />Five of the six experiments resulted in significant <br />increases in estimated precipitation rates at the 3.8 km <br />aircraft sampling level. The exception was experiment <br />6, in which the precipitation rate was essentially un- <br />changed. The mean estimated precipitation rate for <br />the 5 km interval immediately upwind of the Snow <br />Lab was 0.21 mm h -1 for the seeded clouds from all <br />six experiments, but only 0.05 mm h-I for the non- <br />seeded clouds, a factor of 4 difference. Caution is again <br />necessary in regard to quantitative interpretation of <br />the estimated precipitation rates (see Part I). <br />Very little snowfall was recorded at the Snow Lab <br />within 0.5 h preceding or following the passage of the <br />seeded zones aloft in the first three experiments. The <br />greatest surface snowfall rate was 1.6 mm h -I in ex- <br />periment 3, and in all three experiments the peak rate <br />exceeded 1.0 mm h -1 during passage of the seeded <br />zone overhead. Total integrated snowfall attributed to <br />seeding was 0.22, 0.10 and 0.18 mm for experiments <br />1,2 and 3, respectively. Mean precipitation rates ranged <br />from 0.33 to 0.43 mm h-I for these experiments. Super <br />et al. (1986) reported a median rate of 0.7 mm h -1 for <br />a two-winter period on the Grand Mesa. Thus, the rates <br />observed at the Snow Lab in the first three experiments <br />were similar to natural rates during less intense storms. <br />The failure of experiment 4 to produce snowfall at <br />the ground is thought to be due to the proximity of the <br />seeding arc to the Snow Lab. The neophyte AgI plume <br />was afforded only 10 minutes for nucleation, growth, <br />and fallout to the Snow Lab, some 600 m below the <br />seeding altitude. Even immediate nucleation and dif- <br />fusional crystal growth at a rate of 0.1 mm min-I <br />(Holroyd 1986) could not have produced crystals of <br />sufficient size to result in detectable surface snowfall <br />so quickly. <br /> <br />'f <br />.s <br />'0 <br />., <br />'0 <br />I::: <br />., <br />'0 <br />~ <br />01 <br />'" <br />., <br />I::: <br />o <br />N <br />'0 <br />.go <br />"'0 <br />~Z <br />~~ <br />~s <br />....... <br />0100 <br />:::Er<i <br />~~ <br />oh~ <br />- ~ <br />I::: OIl <br />0'2 <br />~ 0 <br />o;t;:::: <br />:::E 25 <br />-g e <br />01<:::: <br />c~ <br />~.; <br />...'0 <br />., I::: <br />;. 01 <br />o OIl <br />'0 I::: <br />~:.a <br />u ., <br />~~ <br />1:::= <br />8:< <br />'" . <br />Er.15 <br />.,z <br />e, <br />'I: ;>, <br />.,.0 <br />~~ <br />., I::: <br />OIl 0 <br />I::: N <br />:.aa3 <br />~'O <br />'" ., <br />., ., <br />E ;9 <br />28 <br />.= "'tj <br />oj e <br />.~ d <br />'" <br />., <br />.s <br />'- <br />o <br />C <br />oj <br />e <br />e <br />;:l <br />en <br />N <br />tol <br />....l <br />o:l <br /><: <br />E-< <br /> <br />"" <br />'" * <br />'~ ~: ::-- <br />~ 13 e ,~ <br />~ ~~! <br />'..( r"') <br /> <br />ci. <br />"'8~ <br />"'"u <br />o ~ 0 <br />o 0. ~ <br />S <br /> <br />~..;~ <br />'" OJ 8 <br />.90.8 <br />us..:.: <br /> <br />= !it e- <br />:l0.8'~~ <br />::; .~ <br />,!J'" <br /> <br />u <br />~: <br />~.:;-- <br />~ Ie <br />'" "" <br />"'~ <br />~ <br /> <br />" <br />u """" <br />Ll... o..~ ~ ~ l1) <br />Cf) .u () ~ "E !:l <br />"0 ~ .s 0.. ~ 0 <br />oo.8:E1)N <br />~ <br /> <br />~j <br />.9- ~ <br />il 0 <br />.. 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