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Last modified
7/28/2009 2:39:16 PM
Creation date
4/18/2008 10:02:21 AM
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Weather Modification
Title
HIPLEX-1: Experimental Design and Response Variables
Date
4/4/1984
Weather Modification - Doc Type
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<br />506 JOURNAL OF CLIMATE AND APPLIED METEOROLOGY VOLUME 23 <br /> TABLE 4. H1PLEX-l cloud selection variables. <br /> Selection <br /> pass Aircraft <br />Test time altitude Temp AWCO AICO MICO VVLO BOYO LPNO CTTO CBTO Cloud <br />case Date (CUT) (km) (0C) (g m-3) (L-1) (L-') (m S-I) (0C) (km) (0C) (oC) class SINS <br />I 21 Jun 79 213023 4.56 -7.8 0.79 0.02 0.02 7.46 1.86 3.29 -15.0 3.0 B NS <br />2 22 Jun 79 201236 4.53 -8.0 1.79 0.06 0.06 6.17 2.68 6.51 -12.5 8.0 B S <br />3 22 Jun 79 222111 4.52 -7.6 1.09 0.00 0.02 2.57 0.41 2.60 -11.3 7.3 A-I NS <br />4 11 Jul 79 203802 5.21 -8.8 0.52 0.02 0.17 4.14 0.69 4.00 -15.5 2.0 B ' S <br />5 II Jul 79 212522 5.25 -7.4 0.98 0.02 1.81 4.40 0.34 3.09 -14.0 2.0 B NS <br />6 12 Jul 79 185842 5.20 -8.0 0.68 0.00 0.00 2.45 0.42 3.31 -10.5 7.7 A-I S <br />7 16 Jul 79 183142 4.42 -7.0 2.51 0.69 0.69 -0.53 -0.51 2.84 -10.5 8.5 A-I NS <br />8 16 Jul 79 205037 4.45 -7.1 0.93 0.00 0.00 -1.35 -0.24 3.41 -12.9 5.6 B S <br />9 22 Jul 79 211139 5.57 -7.0 1.02 0.09 ,0.12 10.36 1.57 3.70 -14.0 5.4 B S <br />10 23 Jul 79 195959 5.20 ,-5.9 1.71 0.11 0.25 6.66 1.04 3.02 -11.0 11.0 A-I S <br />II 24 Jul 79 193330 5.21 -8.1 0.89 0.00 0.00 6.39 -0.08 2.92 -17.0 7.0 B NS ~ <br />12 24 Jul 79 203110 5.23 -9.1 0.56 0.00 0.05 5.24 0.22 3.16 -17.9 5.6 B S -- <br />13 16 May 80 202254 4.31 -8.7 0.75 0.02 0.06 0.97 0.65 2.03 -12.8 2.0 B S <br />14 16 May 80 221412 4.29 -8.0 0.56 0.02 0.28 2.35 0.31 7.88 -15.0 1.5 B S <br />15 7 Jun 80 212250 3.86 -8.8 0.81 0.09 0.34 4.08 0.00 2.83 -11.0 3.4 A-I S <br />16 16 Jun 80 180357 4.50 -8.4 1.13 0.02 0.02 -4.16 -0.16 2.59 -10.0 10.0 A-I NS <br />17 2 Jul 80 184552 5.19 -7.1 1.09 0.02 0.02 7.45 0.70 3.48 -13.5 10.8 B NS <br />18 2 Jul 80 200724 5.18 -7.9 0.59 0.00 0.02 3.87 0.64 2.68 -13.0 6.8 B NS <br />19 2 Jul 80 215559 5.19 -7.1 1.67 0.00 0.00 6.29 2.13 2.84 -9.5 6,8 A-I S <br />20 15 Jul 80 193920 4.62 -9.1 0.97 0.00 0.04 7.99 0.76 4.26 -16.0 2.3 B S <br /> <br />(1981) and Cooper et al. (1982). The latter scheme <br />was too complex to include in the real-time program, <br />so there were some minor discrepancies; for example, <br />Test Case 8 had a measured initial vertical wind <br />(VVLO) of -0.8 m S-I from the real-time system, but <br />-1.35 m S-l from the improved post-flight processing. <br />This type of discrepancy could not be avoided with <br />the system in use, but the discrepancy for Test Case <br />16 is so large that the real-time system would surely <br />have rejected the cloud had it been functioning prop- <br />erly. Thus, the open circuit breaker caused the erro- <br />neous inclusion of this cloud in the experiment. The <br />error was not discovered until after the flight, and the <br />fact that the proper vertical wind was negative was not <br />realized until late 1982. The seed/no-seed decision en- <br />velope for Case 16 was taken from the Class A-I se- <br />quence, so this case has been included in that class <br />for all evaluations of the HIPLEX-I experiment to <br />date, in spite of the error. <br />Another error occurred in Case 9 (22 July 1979) <br />when the wrong dry-ice dispenser was inadvertently <br />activated by the crew of the seeding aircraft. Because <br />there was no bias involved, as they had no knowledge <br />of which dispenser had been disabled, the case was <br />simply assigned to the actual category (seeded). <br />For Case 9 and one other Class B seeded cloud (Case <br />20), the cloud physics aircraft followed the procedure <br />calling for descent from the -50C level prior to 17 <br />min after treatment, after making one pass through a <br />radar echo found at that level (see discussion of TFPI <br />in Appendix). However, the particles observed on the <br />last -50C pass did not satisfy the qualifications for <br />TFPI, so the default value of 17 min (1020 s) was <br /> <br />assigned. It had been thought that the airborne radar <br />sensitivity was low enough that only particles sufficient <br />to met the TFPI qualifications would give a detectablt~ <br />echo. While events bore out that expectation in seven <br />other cases, it turned out not to be true in these two <br />cases. Graupel particles sufficient to give a radar echo <br />appeared, but in concentrations too low to meet tht~ <br />0.1 L -I threshold forTFPI. The SWR-75 radar verified <br />the early appearance of an echo in both cases (cf. Tabk <br />6 below). <br />Supplemental cloud physics data obtained by a Twin <br />Otter research aircraft operated by the National <br />Aeronautics Establishment and the Atmospheric En.. <br />vironment Service of Canada are available for somt: <br />of the HIPLEX-I test cases. The statistical evaluation <br />plan included no provision for using these data, be-, <br />cause the aircraft was not available for all of the teslt <br />cases. However, the data (mostly from near cloud base) <br />are useful for the physical evaluation of the experiment. <br /> <br />7. Calculation of response variables <br /> <br />The response variables were calculated from data <br />acquired by instrumentation on board the cloud phys.. <br />ics aircraft arid the SWR-75 radar. Table 5 lists tht: <br />instruments used to determine the primary responst: <br />variables. The aircraft-derived variables were calculated <br />according to procedures described in Section VIII of <br />the design document (Bureau of Reclamation, 1979) <br />and summarized in the Appendix. The procedures <br />generally involved taking average values along specified <br />segments of the flight path for the indicated cloud <br />penetrations. A concerted effort was made to specify <br />
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